I have made a long bet prediction. This costs $50. Anyone is free to challenge this prediction and a long bet can be negotiated.
Since some money is on the line and potentially more money, I have decided to give my prediction some cushion. I am pretty sure that Dwave Systems will come through but just in case they have problems… I have left some time for ion traps and electron bubbles to make it as well.
I think Dwave Systems should come through with at least 64 qubits in 2007 and 128 qubits or better in 2008.
At least, 155 Computer Science IEEE fellows apparently have said that this prediction will be wrong
Will a quantum computer reach the market? (199 computer science respondents)
Seventy-eight percent of respondents doubt that a commercial quantum computer will reach the market in the next 50 years.
Unlikely 42.7%
Equal chances 25.1%
Likely 22.1%
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
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