He discusses the importance of national sovereignty, which helped Japan from 1858 to 1949 when India and China did not have it.
I will give the punchline date at the end of this article after the video.
Spoiler room before giving the date.
Here is the date that Hans Rosling gives -
June 27, 2048.
I think for China it will be 2044 and for India it will be 2055.