Frank Fenner Predicts Humans will be Extinct Within 100 Years and Has Made No Effort to Make a Detailed Projection

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This online book details the life of Frank Fenner who made major contributions in research of viruses and who was involved in the administration of the smallpox eradication program.

Fenner predicts the extinction of humanity within 100 years, because of overpopulation, environmental destruction and climate change.

If it was just a prediction of some doom strongly related to viruses, then I would give it some more weight. If Frank Fenner had a history of correctly and accurately predicting things, then I would give more weight to this new prediction. Frank Fenner has made almost no more effort to justify his prediction than the guys with the End is Near signs.


I also do not see any effort to make out detail models of how this will play out. What will be happening in 1 year ? 5 years, 10 years, 20 years, 30 years, 50 years, 75 years ?

If he has any expert knowledge then he should apply it and show his work.
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