Rise of AI : What is the Timeline and Impact for AI Becoming AGI

Will AI surpass human intelligence to reach AGI (artificial general intelligence) ? I discuss the rapid advancements in AI, tackle whether you should fear it, and discuss its impact on our jobs and the world. Brian WangBrian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His …

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All in Podcast Makes the Case for the AI Decade and Terminal Nvidia Value of $10 Trillion

The All in Podcast had a discussion and debate about the AI decade. They compare the current AI infrastructure boom with the internet boom. The current situation is less of a bubble because Nvidia is not getting that large a multiple off its real earnings. They are certain that the current build out phase will …

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Nextbigfuture Beat Statististics Canada Predicting Canada’s Future Population

In 2018, Nextbigfuture predicted that Canada would have 40 million people in 2023. Statistics Canada determined that Canada had 40 million people on June 16, 2023. I correctly made this prediction 6 years before it happened. The UN population “actual” numbers are off by 5% for Canada. The UN predictions are off by 20% or …

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OpenAI GPT 4.5 In Days Will Go Beyond Human Experts and More AI Predictions for 2024

2024 and every year going forward will have more and better AI. This intelligence explosion is attracting funding and resources exponentially and it revenue will go exponential. AI expert, Dr Alan Thompson, expects OpenAI to release GPT 4.5 in days and it will exceed human experts in most intelligence tests. A survey of thousands of …

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Top 1% Metaculus Public Forecaster

Metaculus is an American reputation-based, massive online prediction solicitation and aggregation engine. One of the focuses of Metaculus is predicting the timing, nature and impact of scientific and technological advances and breakthrough. In 2022, I ranked 41st out of 4184 Metaculus forecasters for Baseline accuracy. In 2023, I am ranking 25th out of a likely …

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QuEra CoFounder Vladan Vuletic Targets Useful Error Corrected Quantum Computers in 2025-2028

Vladan Vuletic (MIT professor and QuEra Co-founder) had a scientific and technical presentation at the 2023 Q2B conference today. The main part of the talk came on the last slide where Vladan laid out his projection for how QuEra and its research partners will be able to advance their breakthrough Quantum Error Correction work. Vladan …

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Experts Predict Artificial General Intelligence July 2025 to 2031

Dr. Alan Thompson has an Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) percentage tracker. Thompson’s tracker indicates that we have 56% of the capabilities for AGI now. He has fit his percentage tracker to an exponential curve and this indicates we will reach AGI July 2025. Alan Thompson Definitions for AGI and ASI AGI = artificial general intelligence …

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96.9% Correct Predictions in 2023

Nextbigfuture is a top 1% predictor at the public prediction site Metaculus. My overall rank is 45 out of over 5000 forecasters and ranked 31st based on predictions resolved in the past 12 months. Only 8 predictions out of 256 were wrong for predictions resolved in 2023. 248 correct out of 256 predictions resolved in …

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