I have made a long bet prediction. This costs $50. Anyone is free to challenge this prediction and a long bet can be negotiated.
Since some money is on the line and potentially more money, I have decided to give my prediction some cushion. I am pretty sure that Dwave Systems will come through but just in case they have problems… I have left some time for ion traps and electron bubbles to make it as well.
I think Dwave Systems should come through with at least 64 qubits in 2007 and 128 qubits or better in 2008.
Will a quantum computer reach the market? (199 computer science respondents)
Seventy-eight percent of respondents doubt that a commercial quantum computer will reach the market in the next 50 years.
Equal chances 25.1%