Ideafestival talks about J. Richard Gott’s predictions based on the Copernican Principle, which is that there is nothing special about the moment in time we are at. Therefore, we can use how old something is now and then suppose that it has a 50% chance of continuing to double that age and then set a confidence range of three standard deviations to get a confidence range of 5-95% for the expected future life of anything.
In 1993, he predicted that the space program would last between 10 months and 125 years – again this is with a 95 percent statistical confidence. With 95% confidence, humanities life expectency on earth would be an additional 5,100 years and 7.8 million years.
Therefore, there is high priority on setting up colonies offworld and having a dynamic space capability very soon before the space program might end.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.