Nanotech -still have high design costs
Drexlerian nanotech have copies at the cost of raw materials
This is like intellectual property now.
High fixed costs and low variable costs ?
It looks more like monopolistic competition
On the margins there is some competition.
Some people really like stuff from say Apple who like what they make a lot and prices would have to massively shift before they switch.
Shifts from visicalc / lotus 123 / excel etc…
Piracy issue and history
books – US pirating books in the 17-18th century. Strategy to use first mover advantage, but now and in future first mover may not be able to get enough returns fast enough.
advanced biosecurity for products
advertising supported products
something like radio – content and advertising
Artificial Intelligence Economy Speculation
Two radically different visions:
No consciousness but very intelligence and no goals
Capital substitutes for labor
International Trade – there is no absolute measure of what is better
protectionism does not protect american autoworkers from chinese autoworkers
It protects american autoworkers from american farmers
Farmers can grow wheat ship it over to China and get back a ship full of cars.
New ways of using capital that reduces value of labor.
Capital return goes up and labor returns go down.
Ricardo on labor, capital and land
Really good VR (virtual reality) could reduce demand for land
can also do it the old way – where humans are still needed (Big future amish world)
We have survived eliminating virtually all farm jobs and the shift of women being mostly just raising children.
ricardo iron law of wages
Effect of Legal rights of AI
1. People own AI and get the returns of what they make
Owned AI’s compete down to about the marginal cost
Significantly different flavors of AI then you have some monopolistic competition
2. AI owns its clones (altruistic or not to them)
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.