His checks with the supply chain suggest Apple intends to produce 45-48 million iPads next year, which would be up from his forecast of 13.5 million in 2010. Among the drivers he anticipates is the arrival of the iPad 2, which he thinks will include not only a front-facing camera, but also a thinner form factor essentially built from one piece of metal.
For those positive targets to be hit, it would require several things which probably will not happen
* Apple would have to introduce a sub-$500 iPad
* Tablets would have to nearly totally displace netbooks
* Android tablets would have to bomb in the market.
– Samsung seems to have a good tablet and will have follow up versions
In other smartphone news, HTC will soon open its own appstore.
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HTC, the Taiwanese smartphone maker, is hiring staff to prepare for the possible launch of an online store that would sell e-books and applications.
Acer, the world’s second-biggest PC maker, said last month that it planned to launch a “next generation” application store.
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Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.