Vernor Vinge talks about Who is afraid of first movers
5 kinds of superintelligences.
He thinks they will all happen, resulting in different styles of mind.
He discusses differences risks and precedents
1. Computer based path to AGI
Classical Artificial intelligence
2. Intelligence Amplification
Get answers from wikipedia as fast as you can
ride the curve of improved cognition
3. Digital Gaia
Devices in all things
Talk to any node in the network
Suites of sensors and effectors
Reality would wake up
Our world a model reality
Ball point pen dropping
we know what will happen
Digital Gaia – Things would be as stable as financial markets of today
This scares Vernor most right now
4. Group Minds
the internet, data and algorithms, plus hundred of millions of humans
Super crowd sourcing for better future institution
Computers are not at the center on the list except this 4th one
People with a knack for identifying how proteins will fold better than experts
Potential for tapping the best of people and having the systems leverage it.
Better pattern recognition.
Crowdsourced intelligence amplification
Karl Schroeder -different species of mind
Crowdsource to look for risks
5. Biomedical enhancement of human cognition
Turing test passing AGI, could be fooled into thinking it is an upload and then
convince others that it is an upload.