Prediction market success

Brian Wang is participating in another season of the Good Judgement Project. The Good Judgment Project is a four-year research study organized as part of a government-sponsored forecasting tournament. Thousands of people around the world predict global events. Their collective forecasts are surprisingly accurate.

The latest season started August 20th. I was provided with $50,000 in game funds. I have increased it but 21% with correct prediction bets. An example is the Afghanistan Bilateral Security agreement should be signed on Tuesday. Other bets that proved out was the Russia Ruble getting weaker than 38 to 1 US dollar.

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