Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced his intentions to produce millions of cars by 2025. Production on that scale would make Tesla about the size BMW.
More assembly plants will be needed once Tesla reaches 500,000 sales a year. The automaker currently produces vehicles at its Fremont, Calif. plant, and plans to add another plant in China. A Gigafactory facility in Nevada will produce battery packs for Tesla and other automakers, reducing the cost of the now expensive components by at least 30 percent
If you take this year’s revenue around $6 billion or thereabouts, and if we are able to maintain a 30% growth rate for 10 years added to your 10% profitability number and have a 20PE, our market cap would be basically the same as Apple’s is today. Now that’s going to require a bit — on the order of $700 billion. Obviously, getting there will require some significant CapEx.
But I’m hopeful that we can do this without any significant dilution to the company — maybe minor dilution, but nothing serious.
Elon Musk owns about 24% of Telsa Motors. This is about $7 billion of the current 28 billion valuation. If he had 20% of a $700 billion Telsa, then it would be $140 billion.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
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