Fontaine believes United States should respond to North Korea’s ICBM launch with a series of tough measures based on the actual, prevailing dynamics of power on the Korean peninsula and in Northeast Asia. He believes the following should be assumptions.
* China will not solve North Korea. China does not want a unified Korea and getting of North Korea leadership could lead to a costly refugee problem for China.
* South Korea and Japan will not solve North Korea. The military risks are too high for South Korea and Japan
* North Korea will not give up the nuclear problem regardless of what negotiated carrots and sticks are presented.
* Military solutions generally have costs that are too high. North has some nuclear weapons now but they also have lots of bio-chemical weapons.
* Improve and deploy missile defenses in South Korea, Japan, Hawaii and the western part of the USA. Missile defenses need to be useful against the ten or so weapons that North Korea might deploy. Nextbigfuture notes that this plan has the drawback that China and Pakistan and India would move up from the 80-200 nuclear missile arsenels to 400-1000.
* Economic sanctions could target Chinese entities doing business with North Korea
* Use long term policies that enhance the chances for regime change from the Kim dynasty. Nextbigfuture has recommended vastly increasing the rewards for defectors and rewarding other actions that would move the situation in North Korea in the desired direction
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.