IBM, Dwave Systems, Google, Rigetti, Intel and others are computing to develop faster quantum computing systems.
IBM, Google and Rigetti are working on approximate gate model systems.
Rigetti has a 19 qubit chip.
The time to scale up and develop new chips with more qubits is a matter of how effectively the larger number of qubits can be tested.
There are multiple competitors with the non-error correcting gate model systems. I would predict that at least one and possible more of the competitors will try to create and test and publicly announce a 100 qubit system in 2018. A 200+ qubit prototype could be built by the end of 2018.
I think the multiple competitors in quantum computing will force a more aggressive development schedule.
DWave Systems has a 2000 qubit quantum annealing system and is working on a 5000 qubit system. The 5000 qubit was projected to be installed at a client site in 2019. This would mean that the 5000 qubit system is being tested now at Dwave. Dwave will probably publish speed tests and research papers about the 5000 qubit system in 2018. Although Dwave may choose to only use about 4000 or the 5000 total qubits.
I predict a 100 qubit gate model system or the 4000-5000 qubit DWave quantum annealing system will demonstrate quantum supremacy in several problem areas.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.