China, USA and India will compete for Asia Region Dominance in 2030s and beyond

The Lowy Institute looks at economic, cultural, military and other factors of power in Asia.

They also projected the GDP in purchasing power parity and military spending and workforce levels. Those are all measures which favor emerging large population economies like China and India.

Thus they project that China will surpass the US in terms of Asia region power and that India will nearly match the US in terms of Asia region power by 2030.

The view of comparing military power is also a distortion. US equipment is still superior to Chinese equipment. The US has more planes and the equipment is better. US bombers are vastly superior in terms of range and bombloads.

The US has 11 defined aircraft carriers but the US also has 10 mini-carriers which are called amphibious assault ships. Those mini-carriers are about 40,000 tons and can carry about 40 planes. One of the US mini-carriers can match China’s refurbished Ukrainian “aircraft carrier” in terms of size and number of planes. China new domestically built aircraft carrier is also small. On paper, China could have two carriers but combined they are less than one of the US super-carriers which can deploy 80-100 planes. China’s fourth or fifth aircraft carrier will start getting to the size and number of planes as one of the US carriers.

After the various caveats and details, it is clear that China and India are emerging and will be far more powerful in Asia. Japan, South Korea and ASEAN (Indonesia in particular) will continue to have substantial and growing power. It is a question of timing and maintaining high levels of economic growth and development.

45 thoughts on “China, USA and India will compete for Asia Region Dominance in 2030s and beyond”

  1. I would prefer placing or helping acquire nuclear weapons for Japan, South Korea, Australia and Saudi Arabia. That circulates China aside from India who has nuclear weapons and on their way for longer range ICBMs that threatens mainland China. Unfortunately for China, they’re surrounded. Rather than befriend the surrounding, China’s bullying them. If these countries create a NATO equivalent of defending each other like an alliance between India, Vietnam, Taiwan, Japan, Philippines, South Korea, Australia and Indonesia (and throw in USA) just to counter China’s bullying. Should we be afraid if these countries acquire nuclear weapons? Remember, it was only USA who has it a while back, now we have a handful but still no nuclear war. It’s deterrence my friends. China will put their fingers farther from the launch button if they know that more fingers will press their buttons if they’re touched.

    Reply
  2. I would prefer placing or helping acquire nuclear weapons for Japan South Korea Australia and Saudi Arabia. That circulates China aside from India who has nuclear weapons and on their way for longer range ICBMs that threatens mainland China. Unfortunately for China they’re surrounded. Rather than befriend the surrounding China’s bullying them. If these countries create a NATO equivalent of defending each other like an alliance between India Vietnam Taiwan Japan Philippines South Korea Australia and Indonesia (and throw in USA) just to counter China’s bullying.Should we be afraid if these countries acquire nuclear weapons? Remember it was only USA who has it a while back now we have a handful but still no nuclear war. It’s deterrence my friends. China will put their fingers farther from the launch button if they know that more fingers will press their buttons if they’re touched.

    Reply
  3. Martin, Saudi is being supported because they’re business partners. And basically, is Saudi a terrorist country like ISIS infested Afghanistan, Syria, etc? Why are you saying terrorist country? Such a poor generalization just to counter a specific instance of China “propping” up… Maybe read a bit more.

    Reply
  4. Martin Saudi is being supported because they’re business partners. And basically is Saudi a terrorist country like ISIS infested Afghanistan Syria etc? Why are you saying terrorist country? Such a poor generalization just to counter a specific instance of China propping”” up… Maybe read a bit more.”””

    Reply
  5. Hey Mr Noname, you’re either a Chinese person, or Russian or just plain disloyal, crooked minded who’s plotting on disrupting peace here in the US of A. I’m not sure why you’re tying up genocide and overthrowing democtratically elected governments with Saudi Arabia. Ok, in reality there’s something called vested interests right? Is USA 100% righteous? Of course not. It’s protecting vested interests. But USA is evolving the “better” way. Even water boarding is being question now compared to China (where you vanish forever or Russia where you get shot walking home or get poisoned or let’s say North Korea wherein you get shot by Anti-Aircraft guns or fed to the dogs)….Do you live here in US Noname? I’m assuming you don’t that’s why you don’t know that we’re more free than the country China or Russia whom you’re defending. It’s lesser evil my friend. By the way you react, it seems that you have a lot of rage against USofA man. And take a look at your pants man, maybe you’re wearing levi’s or you’re using an iPhone or drive a Ford truck. Sorry to say, if you’re logical and smart, you’ll choose America compared to those you’re defending.

    Reply
  6. Hey Mr Noname you’re either a Chinese person or Russian or just plain disloyal crooked minded who’s plotting on disrupting peace here in the US of A. I’m not sure why you’re tying up genocide and overthrowing democtratically elected governments with Saudi Arabia.Ok in reality there’s something called vested interests right? Is USA 100{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} righteous? Of course not. It’s protecting vested interests. But USA is evolving the better”” way. Even water boarding is being question now compared to China (where you vanish forever or Russia where you get shot walking home or get poisoned or let’s say North Korea wherein you get shot by Anti-Aircraft guns or fed to the dogs)….Do you live here in US Noname? I’m assuming you don’t that’s why you don’t know that we’re more free than the country China or Russia whom you’re defending.It’s lesser evil my friend. By the way you react”” it seems that you have a lot of rage against USofA man. And take a look at your pants man maybe you’re wearing levi’s or you’re using an iPhone or drive a Ford truck. Sorry to say if you’re logical and smart”” you’ll choose America compared to those you’re defending.”””

    Reply
  7. I would prefer placing or helping acquire nuclear weapons for Japan, South Korea, Australia and Saudi Arabia. That circulates China aside from India who has nuclear weapons and on their way for longer range ICBMs that threatens mainland China. Unfortunately for China, they’re surrounded. Rather than befriend the surrounding, China’s bullying them. If these countries create a NATO equivalent of defending each other like an alliance between India, Vietnam, Taiwan, Japan, Philippines, South Korea, Australia and Indonesia (and throw in USA) just to counter China’s bullying.

    Should we be afraid if these countries acquire nuclear weapons? Remember, it was only USA who has it a while back, now we have a handful but still no nuclear war. It’s deterrence my friends. China will put their fingers farther from the launch button if they know that more fingers will press their buttons if they’re touched.

    Reply
  8. Martin, Saudi is being supported because they’re business partners. And basically, is Saudi a terrorist country like ISIS infested Afghanistan, Syria, etc? Why are you saying terrorist country? Such a poor generalization just to counter a specific instance of China “propping” up… Maybe read a bit more.

    Reply
  9. Hey Mr Noname, you’re either a Chinese person, or Russian or just plain disloyal, crooked minded who’s plotting on disrupting peace here in the US of A. I’m not sure why you’re tying up genocide and overthrowing democtratically elected governments with Saudi Arabia.

    Ok, in reality there’s something called vested interests right? Is USA 100% righteous? Of course not. It’s protecting vested interests. But USA is evolving the “better” way. Even water boarding is being question now compared to China (where you vanish forever or Russia where you get shot walking home or get poisoned or let’s say North Korea wherein you get shot by Anti-Aircraft guns or fed to the dogs)….Do you live here in US Noname? I’m assuming you don’t that’s why you don’t know that we’re more free than the country China or Russia whom you’re defending.

    It’s lesser evil my friend. By the way you react, it seems that you have a lot of rage against USofA man. And take a look at your pants man, maybe you’re wearing levi’s or you’re using an iPhone or drive a Ford truck. Sorry to say, if you’re logical and smart, you’ll choose America compared to those you’re defending.

    Reply
  10. Whoever China is “propping” up is nowhere near as bad as Saudi Arabia, first stop supporting the terrorist state Saudi Arabia and then talk.

    Reply
  11. Whoever China is propping”” up is nowhere near as bad as Saudi Arabia”””” first stop supporting the terrorist state Saudi Arabia and then talk.”””

    Reply
  12. The US doesn’t have to ‘dominate’ in Asia. It just has to keep Japan, India and China thrashing each other. That’s all. And very, very easy to accomplish relative to trying to contain China Cold War-style.

    Reply
  13. The US doesn’t have to ‘dominate’ in Asia. It just has to keep Japan India and China thrashing each other. That’s all.And very very easy to accomplish relative to trying to contain China Cold War-style.

    Reply
  14. Protecting democracy by overthrowing democratically elected governments and committing genocide? Why is America an ally to Saudi Arabia?

    Reply
  15. Protecting democracy by overthrowing democratically elected governments and committing genocide? Why is America an ally to Saudi Arabia?

    Reply
  16. It has not been all roses, most of it was done in the name of protecting democracy and prosperity globally, nothing compared to what China has in mind for the world.

    Reply
  17. It has not been all roses most of it was done in the name of protecting democracy and prosperity globally nothing compared to what China has in mind for the world.

    Reply
  18. The US doesn’t have to ‘dominate’ in Asia.

    It just has to keep Japan, India and China thrashing each other. That’s all.

    And very, very easy to accomplish relative to trying to contain China Cold War-style.

    Reply
  19. Why are you lying? America is the most rapacious empire in human history with 800 military bases occupying the world and overthrowing democratically elected governments that were resisted Western capitalist takeover. In contrast, China’s rise has been quiet as a mouse. https://i.imgur.com/OMawpLS.jpg https://i.imgur.com/0brGzqO.jpg A BRIEFING ON THE HISTORY OF U.S. MILITARY INTERVENTIONS By Zoltán Grossman, October 2001 Since the September 11 attacks on the United States, most people in the world agree that the perpetrators need to be brought to justice, without killing many thousands of civilians in the process. But unfortunately, the U.S. military has always accepted massive civilian deaths as part of the cost of war. The military is now poised to kill thousands of foreign civilians, in order to prove that killing U.S. civilians is wrong. The media has told us repeatedly that some Middle Easterners hate the U.S. only because of our “freedom” and “prosperity.” Missing from this explanation is the historical context of the U.S. role in the Middle East, and for that matter in the rest of the world. This basic primer is an attempt to brief readers who have not closely followed the history of U.S. foreign or military affairs, and are perhaps unaware of the background of U.S. military interventions abroad, but are concerned about the direction of our country toward a new war in the name of “freedom” and “protecting civilians.” The United States military has been intervening in other countries for a long time. In 1898, it seized the Philippines, Cuba, and Puerto Rico from Spain, and in 1917-18 became embroiled in World War I in Europe. In the first half of the 20th century it repeatedly sent Marines to “protectorates” such as Nicaragua, Honduras, Panama, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic. All these interventions directly served corporate interests, and many resulted in massive losses of civilians, rebels, and soldiers. Many of the uses of U.S. combat forces are doc

    Reply
  20. Why are you lying? America is the most rapacious empire in human history with 800 military bases occupying the world and overthrowing democratically elected governments that were resisted Western capitalist takeover. In contrast China’s rise has been quiet as a mouse.https://i.imgur.com/OMawpLS.jpghttps://i.imgur.com/0brGzqO.jpgA BRIEFING ON THE HISTORY OF U.S. MILITARY INTERVENTIONS By Zoltán Grossman October 2001Since the September 11 attacks on the United States most people in the world agree that the perpetrators need to be brought to justice without killing many thousands of civilians in the process. But unfortunately the U.S. military has always accepted massive civilian deaths as part of the cost of war. The military is now poised to kill thousands of foreign civilians in order to prove that killing U.S. civilians is wrong.The media has told us repeatedly that some Middle Easterners hate the U.S. only because of our freedom”” and “”””prosperity.”””” Missing from this explanation is the historical context of the U.S. role in the Middle East”” and for that matter in the rest of the world. This basic primer is an attempt to brief readers who have not closely followed the history of U.S. foreign or military affairs and are perhaps unaware of the background of U.S. military interventions abroad”” but are concerned about the direction of our country toward a new war in the name of “”””freedom”””” and “”””protecting civilians.””””The United States military has been intervening in other countries for a long time. In 1898″” it seized the Philippines Cuba and Puerto Rico from Spain”” and in 1917-18 became embroiled in World War I in Europe. In the first half of the 20th century it repeatedly sent Marines to “”””protectorates”””” such as Nicaragua”” Honduras Panama Haiti and the Dominican Republic. All these interventions directly served corporate interests and many resulted in massive losses of civilians rebels”” and soldiers. Many of the uses of U.S. com”

    Reply
  21. Why are you lying? America is the most rapacious empire in human history with 800 military bases occupying the world and overthrowing democratically elected governments that were resisted Western capitalist takeover. In contrast, China’s rise has been quiet as a mouse.

    https://i.imgur.com/OMawpLS.jpg

    https://i.imgur.com/0brGzqO.jpg

    A BRIEFING ON THE HISTORY OF U.S. MILITARY INTERVENTIONS By Zoltán Grossman, October 2001

    Since the September 11 attacks on the United States, most people in the world agree that the perpetrators need to be brought to justice, without killing many thousands of civilians in the process. But unfortunately, the U.S. military has always accepted massive civilian deaths as part of the cost of war. The military is now poised to kill thousands of foreign civilians, in order to prove that killing U.S. civilians is wrong.

    The media has told us repeatedly that some Middle Easterners hate the U.S. only because of our “freedom” and “prosperity.” Missing from this explanation is the historical context of the U.S. role in the Middle East, and for that matter in the rest of the world. This basic primer is an attempt to brief readers who have not closely followed the history of U.S. foreign or military affairs, and are perhaps unaware of the background of U.S. military interventions abroad, but are concerned about the direction of our country toward a new war in the name of “freedom” and “protecting civilians.”

    The United States military has been intervening in other countries for a long time. In 1898, it seized the Philippines, Cuba, and Puerto Rico from Spain, and in 1917-18 became embroiled in World War I in Europe. In the first half of the 20th century it repeatedly sent Marines to “protectorates” such as Nicaragua, Honduras, Panama, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic. All these interventions directly served corporate interests, and many resulted in massive losses of civilians, rebels, and soldiers. Many of the uses of U.S. combat forces are documented in A History of U.S. Military Interventions since 1890: http://academic.evergreen.edu/g/grossmaz/interventions.html

    Reply
  22. I disagree. US has world dominance in military forces with 800 bases in 70 countries. China has one. China’s military is defensive, it doesn’t need 20 aircraft carriers, only enough to protect its energy supply routes. Look at history and tell me ‘every country should create whatever ties with whoever it wants to.’ The US is geared to fight anywhere in the world. China is geared to defend its homeland. https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/06/us-military-bases-around-the-world-119321 https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-07/us-greatest-threat-peace-world-today-new-poll-finds https://www.globalresearch.ca/america-has-been-at-war-93-of-the-time-222-out-of-239-years-since-1776/5565946 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_involvement_in_regime_change

    Reply
  23. I disagree. US has world dominance in military forces with 800 bases in 70 countries. China has one. China’s military is defensive it doesn’t need 20 aircraft carriers only enough to protect its energy supply routes. Look at history and tell me ‘every country should create whatever ties with whoever it wants to.’ The US is geared to fight anywhere in the world. China is geared to defend its homeland.https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/06/us-military-bases-around-the-world-119321https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-07/us-greatest-threat-peace-world-today-new-poll-findshttps://www.globalresearch.ca/america-has-been-at-war-93-of-the-time-222-out-of-239-years-since-1776/5565946https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_involvement_in_regime_change

    Reply
  24. It is only China that is craving for dominance of Asia and beyond. India Japan and the USA are just trying to prevent that acting from the understanding that every country should create whatever ties with whoever it wants to.

    Reply
  25. It is only China that is craving for dominance of Asia and beyond. India Japan and the USA are just trying to prevent that acting from the understanding that every country should create whatever ties with whoever it wants to.

    Reply
  26. I disagree. US has world dominance in military forces with 800 bases in 70 countries. China has one. China’s military is defensive, it doesn’t need 20 aircraft carriers, only enough to protect its energy supply routes. Look at history and tell me ‘every country should create whatever ties with whoever it wants to.’ The US is geared to fight anywhere in the world. China is geared to defend its homeland.

    https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/06/us-military-bases-around-the-world-119321

    https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-07/us-greatest-threat-peace-world-today-new-poll-finds

    https://www.globalresearch.ca/america-has-been-at-war-93-of-the-time-222-out-of-239-years-since-1776/5565946

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_involvement_in_regime_change

    Reply
  27. It is only China that is craving for dominance of Asia and beyond. India Japan and the USA are just trying to prevent that acting from the understanding that every country should create whatever ties with whoever it wants to.

    Reply

Leave a Comment