World population will pass 8 billion in 2023

The world population will be nearly 7.7 billion by the end of 2018 and will pass 8 billion in 2023.

The world urban population reached 4 billion in 2016 and will pass 4.5 billion in 2023 and will pass 5 billion in 2029 or 2030. World population will pass 8.5 billion in 2029 or 2030.

The world population will pass 9 billion in 2037.
The rural population is staying flat at about 3.5 billion and the new population is produced or is moving to the cities.

Mexico and Ethiopia will pass Russia’s population by 2030.
Congo, Philippines and Egypt will pass the population of Japan by 2030.

34 thoughts on “World population will pass 8 billion in 2023”

  1. This study can’t take into account life extension developments. Many predictions have lifespan escape velocity being reached in the last few years of this projection.

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  2. This study can’t take into account life extension developments. Many predictions have lifespan escape velocity being reached in the last few years of this projection.

    Reply
  3. India and Pakistan population growth rate isn’t as high as it once was. India it is 1.2% and Pakistan is just 2%. Most of the population growth will occur in Africa. Many countries there have 3+% population growth rate.

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  4. India and Pakistan population growth rate isn’t as high as it once was. India it is 1.2{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} and Pakistan is just 2{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12}. Most of the population growth will occur in Africa. Many countries there have 3+{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} population growth rate.

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  5. If you go to the website listed, it shows the population stabilizing about 2100 at a bit over 11 billion. Not sure that will happen, other sites have shown population growth leveling off about 2050-2070, but there’s a lot of uncertainty in the projections. Urban areas tend to have a lot fewer kids, as kids are a liability in town (requiring education and other expenses), as opposed to rural areas, where they are cheap farm labor for their parents. It sometimes takes a generation for people to figure that out. As far as food production, I think we can cover that with GMO plants and careful fertilization and to some extant, more use of greenhouses (to re-use water and lengthen growing seasons, not viable for cereal grains though). Imaginative things like open-ocean fish farming and substitutes for growing the whole animal just for the meat have the ability to really transform things. The problem will be the cars, houses and gadgets we want. Open-pit mining, deforestation, pollution (like the hog manure piles and coal ash pits that were washed out in Hurricane Florence) will not go away. They aren’t seen by most people, at least not by rich people, so we tend to turn a blind eye to them, but that’s the real blemish of modern society.

    Reply
  6. If you go to the website listed it shows the population stabilizing about 2100 at a bit over 11 billion. Not sure that will happen other sites have shown population growth leveling off about 2050-2070 but there’s a lot of uncertainty in the projections. Urban areas tend to have a lot fewer kids as kids are a liability in town (requiring education and other expenses) as opposed to rural areas where they are cheap farm labor for their parents. It sometimes takes a generation for people to figure that out.As far as food production I think we can cover that with GMO plants and careful fertilization and to some extant more use of greenhouses (to re-use water and lengthen growing seasons not viable for cereal grains though). Imaginative things like open-ocean fish farming and substitutes for growing the whole animal just for the meat have the ability to really transform things.The problem will be the cars houses and gadgets we want. Open-pit mining deforestation pollution (like the hog manure piles and coal ash pits that were washed out in Hurricane Florence) will not go away. They aren’t seen by most people at least not by rich people so we tend to turn a blind eye to them but that’s the real blemish of modern society.

    Reply
  7. It will be interesting to see how India handles this. They need to introduce contraception for real, if they want the population to have an increase in living standards. Pakistan is headed for trouble. It doesn’t have the carrying capacity or the ability to import for that many new people. Large numbers of young unemployed youth, ripe for radicalization, and they’ll be heading down the path that Yemen is on right now. Bangladesh will also be facing troubles, because they’re already overcrowded and right at sea level, so every storm brings massive flooding and global warming will only hit them harder.

    Reply
  8. It will be interesting to see how India handles this. They need to introduce contraception for real if they want the population to have an increase in living standards.Pakistan is headed for trouble. It doesn’t have the carrying capacity or the ability to import for that many new people. Large numbers of young unemployed youth ripe for radicalization and they’ll be heading down the path that Yemen is on right now. Bangladesh will also be facing troubles because they’re already overcrowded and right at sea level so every storm brings massive flooding and global warming will only hit them harder.

    Reply
  9. India and Pakistan population growth rate isn’t as high as it once was. India it is 1.2% and Pakistan is just 2%. Most of the population growth will occur in Africa. Many countries there have 3+% population growth rate.

    Reply
  10. If you go to the website listed, it shows the population stabilizing about 2100 at a bit over 11 billion. Not sure that will happen, other sites have shown population growth leveling off about 2050-2070, but there’s a lot of uncertainty in the projections. Urban areas tend to have a lot fewer kids, as kids are a liability in town (requiring education and other expenses), as opposed to rural areas, where they are cheap farm labor for their parents. It sometimes takes a generation for people to figure that out.

    As far as food production, I think we can cover that with GMO plants and careful fertilization and to some extant, more use of greenhouses (to re-use water and lengthen growing seasons, not viable for cereal grains though). Imaginative things like open-ocean fish farming and substitutes for growing the whole animal just for the meat have the ability to really transform things.

    The problem will be the cars, houses and gadgets we want. Open-pit mining, deforestation, pollution (like the hog manure piles and coal ash pits that were washed out in Hurricane Florence) will not go away. They aren’t seen by most people, at least not by rich people, so we tend to turn a blind eye to them, but that’s the real blemish of modern society.

    Reply
  11. It will be interesting to see how India handles this. They need to introduce contraception for real, if they want the population to have an increase in living standards.

    Pakistan is headed for trouble. It doesn’t have the carrying capacity or the ability to import for that many new people. Large numbers of young unemployed youth, ripe for radicalization, and they’ll be heading down the path that Yemen is on right now. Bangladesh will also be facing troubles, because they’re already overcrowded and right at sea level, so every storm brings massive flooding and global warming will only hit them harder.

    Reply
  12. Even if the lifespan of the oldest, richest individuals does get a kick along in the last few years of this projection it wouldn’t change numbers more than a couple of percent. You’d need decades of the tech being available for a big proportion of the population for the graphs to show it.

    Reply
  13. Even if the lifespan of the oldest richest individuals does get a kick along in the last few years of this projection it wouldn’t change numbers more than a couple of percent.You’d need decades of the tech being available for a big proportion of the population for the graphs to show it.

    Reply
  14. Even if the lifespan of the oldest, richest individuals does get a kick along in the last few years of this projection it wouldn’t change numbers more than a couple of percent.

    You’d need decades of the tech being available for a big proportion of the population for the graphs to show it.

    Reply
  15. I was thinking of the planet, which has a limited tolerance to ever-increasing abuse. Even now it looks like we exploit resources faster than they are renewed and pollute more than the ecosystem can process.

    Reply
  16. I was thinking of the planet which has a limited tolerance to ever-increasing abuse.Even now it looks like we exploit resources faster than they are renewed and pollute more than the ecosystem can process.

    Reply
  17. It will all depends on the carrying capacity. Each country has its own carrying capacity based on its economy. Some countries will hit this limit and their population will stop increasing. Others won’t and their population wont stop growing. Of course the countries with the highest growth rate are the ones with the worst economies. So I also think there is a limit but I think it is more than 9 billion. I think 14 billion might be possible but I doubt 28 billion is possible.

    Reply
  18. It will all depends on the carrying capacity. Each country has its own carrying capacity based on its economy. Some countries will hit this limit and their population will stop increasing. Others won’t and their population wont stop growing. Of course the countries with the highest growth rate are the ones with the worst economies. So I also think there is a limit but I think it is more than 9 billion. I think 14 billion might be possible but I doubt 28 billion is possible.

    Reply
  19. I was thinking of the planet, which has a limited tolerance to ever-increasing abuse.
    Even now it looks like we exploit resources faster than they are renewed and pollute more than the ecosystem can process.

    Reply
  20. This study can’t take into account life extension developments. Many predictions have lifespan escape velocity being reached in the last few years of this projection.

    Reply
  21. This study can’t take into account life extension developments. Many predictions have lifespan escape velocity being reached in the last few years of this projection.

    Reply
  22. It will all depends on the carrying capacity. Each country has its own carrying capacity based on its economy. Some countries will hit this limit and their population will stop increasing. Others won’t and their population wont stop growing. Of course the countries with the highest growth rate are the ones with the worst economies. So I also think there is a limit but I think it is more than 9 billion. I think 14 billion might be possible but I doubt 28 billion is possible.

    Reply

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