Free medical fertility and bribes could boost Japan’s population in 2100 by 50%

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In 2006, Japan had predicted its total fertility could fall to 1.16 in 2020 but pro-child policies increased total fertility to 1.46 in 2015. Japan’s fertility reached a record low at 1.26-lifetime births per woman in 2005.

A comprehensive free fertility program would freeze eggs for young women. The eggs of young women would be the most successful for later test tube babies. Having free IVR fertility treatments would mitigate Japan’s low birth rate. Japan has a very low birthrate and nearly a fifth of Japanese couples struggle to have children. 5% of babies in Japan are from IVR. However, 20% could be from successful IVR.

Increasing the payment and support for couples to have babies to the level of one or even two years of income would increase the number of babies by up to 25%.

In Tokyo the Minato Ward gave parents get one-time cash payouts of up to 180,000 yen — about $1,684 — a birth. A town called Ama on the island of Nakanoshima gave payments for babies. Parents get 100,000 yen (about $940) for the first baby and 1 million yen (about $9,400) for the fourth kid. The town’s fertility rate bumped up to 1.80 from 1.66 between 2014 and 2015.

The working age population in Japan will fall from 76 million to 40 million in 2100 without major new policies and changes. The working age population in Japan has already fallen from 87 million in the mid-1990s.

There also will need to be a level of marketing, indoctrination and training to increase the desire and success in building relationships.

South Korea has new courses in University which makes dating classmates mandatory.

Japan’s current level of pro-child policies

Japan had the New Angel Plan and the Plus One Policy.

Japan has the following policies

* Improve the employment environment to reconcile work and family responsibilities
* Enhance childcare services
* Strengthen maternal and child health facilities
* Improve housing and public facilities for families with children
* Promote child development
* Improve the educational environment for children
* Ease the economic cost associated with child rearing.

It aimed to create parent-friendly working conditions, with funds allocated for the construction of 50,000 new daycare facilities.

Over 5% of babies in Japan are from invitro fertilization. In 2016, Japan had a record 447,790 in-vitro fertilization. This resulted in 54,110 births which was an all-time high and up 3,109 from the previous year. The state provides subsidies for married couples to go through the IVF treatment, while local governments including the Tokyo metropolitan government also run similar programs. 44,678 babies were born through IVF treatment using frozen embryos or eggs, accounting for some 80 percent of all IVF births in 2016.

The Japanese subsidies were only available for a couple whose total income is less than 7.3 million yen ($65,000).

39 thoughts on “Free medical fertility and bribes could boost Japan’s population in 2100 by 50%”

  1. No, you are the one who has memory problems.I have never said “I only like Europeans” on any of my posts nor said anything even remotely similar to that.

  5. In Japan’s case, the real culprit is 80 hour work weeks. People are expected to put in loads of overtime to have any hope of advancement or raises. And you don’t change jobs without very good reason.

  8. Sounds like 90% of what they can do is just a recipe for backfiring effects anyway.if they give bribes to families, this will be at the expense of either peoples savings, or junior (usually male) workers.if they try to beef up womens rights , it will overprivilage an already very privileged segment of their population (young women).the only hope that the government has is getting out of the way of whatever has left of the will of their people to have kids as much as possible, without making some wealth transfers that would mostly backfire (although maybe some WTs can be made to a limited extent)the other solution is perhaps phasing out any schemes that depend on population growth (debts and so forth) , along with anti aging research.

  9. In Japan’s case, the real culprit is 80 hour work weeks. People are expected to put in loads of overtime to have any hope of advancement or raises. And you don’t change jobs without very good reason.

  12. Sounds like 90% of what they can do is just a recipe for backfiring effects anyway.

    if they give bribes to families, this will be at the expense of either peoples savings, or junior (usually male) workers.

    if they try to beef up womens rights , it will overprivilage an already very privileged segment of their population (young women).

    the only hope that the government has is getting out of the way of whatever has left of the will of their people to have kids as much as possible, without making some wealth transfers that would mostly backfire (although maybe some WTs can be made to a limited extent)

    the other solution is perhaps phasing out any schemes that depend on population growth (debts and so forth) , along with anti aging research.

  15. Science has not substantially investigated the energy of love, as a matter of fact it hardly recognizes that it exists and not because it is not worth looking into. Science focuses on simple easy to detect cause and effect processes of tangible phenomena and too easily wishes to discard the rest for the sake of the scientific premises which has become a dogma not much less emptier than the church dogma that it has succeeded.

  17. Tax businesses that hire young women to pay the young men with whom they would, in a more natural environment, be mating and having children. This can be done via a citizen’s dividend paid out only to young men. Sexist? Ageist? So is nature and so is the limbic system. Get over it.

  18. Science has not substantially investigated the energy of love, as a matter of fact it hardly recognizes that it exists and not because it is not worth looking into. Science focuses on simple easy to detect cause and effect processes of tangible phenomena and too easily wishes to discard the rest for the sake of the scientific premises which has become a dogma not much less emptier than the church dogma that it has succeeded.

  19. Something to consider with a society using IVF on a large scale, is that it is possible to genetically screen the fertilized embryos, and that the cost of doing so is declining steadily. Right now it is limited to screening for known genetic diseases, but studies are underway to correlate DNA with intelligence, personality, height, and so on. So a couple could have say 10-20 embryos fertilized, then pick the one with the traits they favor the most. Should be interesting to see how this pans out. I will note that this form of eugenics, unlike other versions practiced in the past, should face a lot less opposition, due to the fact that everyone could benefit from it, and have smarter, healthier children, rather than forcing some people to not have kids.

  20. My ex is Brazilian, and as she pointed out a television is the most effective form of birth control ever invented. So, ban birth control and televisions, problem resolved! 🙂

  22. Tax businesses that hire young women to pay the young men with whom they would, in a more natural environment, be mating and having children. This can be done via a citizen’s dividend paid out only to young men. Sexist? Ageist? So is nature and so is the limbic system. Get over it.

  23. My ex is Brazilian, and as she pointed out a television is the most effective form of birth control ever invented. So, ban birth control and televisions, problem resolved! 🙂

  24. according to Robert Zubrin’s book “Merchants of Despair”, The West convinced the Japanese culture that they would run out of resources in the future, and that they needed to lower their birth rate. It was very successful and many people volunteered for sterilization. Obviously that was wrong, and those chickens have come home to roost.

  25. Can you use this energy of love to charge up a battery and then zap it into the IVF kids? Does it work in capacitors? Or do you need to infuse it into a gemstone or something?

  26. Those nagging costs would be bearable if women were actually able to fully participate in the workforce, but there are social/structural problems that pull the rug out from under them. First and foremost, many nurseries/kindergartens have ending/release times that make fulltime employment functionally impossible (part of the homemaker un/underemployed mother concept which presupposes child pickup availability). Feeding that is the obscene warping of employment trends by having part-time underemployed married women being allowed to earn money via jobs up a fixed cap tax-free. This puts downward pressure on wages, as there is a ready pool of underemployed married women who know that their employers will not pay them more than the cap for their work, which puts single people at a economic disadvantage AND the married women will be harassed with unpaid overtime. This effectively makes women unemployable for about 2 years after birth, underemployed and likely not returning to their original profession for the next 6 years or so as they are effectively forced to work crappy part time jobs to make ends meet. There’s a whole underclass of service industry jobs done by these women.There’s also the issue of societal expectations for the K-6 stages of childhood, particularly afternoon time for elementary students. While latchkey elementary school kids exist, it’s still fundamentally frowned upon. In much the same way as 7-12 grade students, having required afternoon structured activities could potentially alleviate that pitfall effectively requiring a stay-at-home parent.So, the real solution is1. Substantial parental tax rebates that mostly plateau at the third kid (relative to the added costs of another kid), so there is a huge incentive to have 2 kids. This extends until the age of majority (20 in japan), and should be combined with the one time special birth payment, paid for by the local city. Make the actual economic proposition that having a child is a net monetary positive for that couple.2. free national daycare/kindergarten from age 0-6 with extended hours support (dropping off early and picking up late). Perhaps vouchered as well to accommodate the private sector. This gets women back into their careers faster, so no blanks in their resumes and don’t fall behind in their professions. (The general argument thus far is that people who were away from their industry for substantial periods of time are fundamentally less economically valuable than those who stayed, which is why men get paid more at the same age compared to mothers, as a direct economic argument by employers)3. proper structured activities for elementary school kids to keep them out of trouble until 5pm at least with the school hosting/supervising kids who need to leave later due to late returning parents. This makes sure that mothers can work actual fulltime jobs, because realistically anyone who is leaving two hours early every day will get lower performance reviews.

  28. The last recommendation:”Ease the economic cost associated with child rearing.” is necessary for any possibility of fertility increase in Japan. The problem with Japan is the constant “nickel and diming” you are subjected to while going about one’s life in Japan. These costs are greatly magnified for those who have kids. A good example is the cost (around $2,000) for school uniforms for each child. If the Japanese government is serious about increasing fertility rates, they will do something about these costs. If they don’t, then they are not serious about the issue. My guess is that they will do nothing about the costs associated with child rearing simply because too many people and companies make their money from these costs.

  29. In vitro chldren are less vital and healthy. We still don’t understand and have not even researched the full impact of coming to life artificially. Children are not made only from sperm and egg, but also the energy of love transmitted during the sexual intercourse. Google Children born using IVF could face serious health problems later in life.

  30. Make having kids an asset or at least not a burden and people will have them. People in developed countries have stopped having kids because they are so expensive in time, resources and money.In developing countries and in the past, kids were perceived an asset and an investment, given they could help the family take care of the crops and cattle, and many other chores, like defending your land from neighboring clans/families when they grew up.Of course, we shouldn’t strive to make kid’s labor legal. We rather should strive to make parenting much cheaper and easier.Give tax benefits, free childcare (this can be public or by reimbursement), even give a per kid UBI to parents. Yes, bribe people to have them.Also, push forward with AI caretaker tech, for eventually have them watching over the kids 24/24. So they don’t get lost or hurt without anyone noticing. Later use better tech for having robot nannies.Having kids should be as easy as possible while maintaining them safe, for enticing people to lay down and think of the future.

  31. In vitro chldren are less vital and healthy. We still don’t understand and have not even researched the full impact of coming to life artificially.

  32. according to Robert Zubrin’s book “Merchants of Despair”, The West convinced the Japanese culture that they would run out of resources in the future, and that they needed to lower their birth rate. It was very successful and many people volunteered for sterilization. Obviously that was wrong, and those chickens have come home to roost.

  33. Can you use this energy of love to charge up a battery and then zap it into the IVF kids? Does it work in capacitors? Or do you need to infuse it into a gemstone or something?

  34. Those nagging costs would be bearable if women were actually able to fully participate in the workforce, but there are social/structural problems that pull the rug out from under them. First and foremost, many nurseries/kindergartens have ending/release times that make fulltime employment functionally impossible (part of the homemaker un/underemployed mother concept which presupposes child pickup availability). Feeding that is the obscene warping of employment trends by having part-time underemployed married women being allowed to earn money via jobs up a fixed cap tax-free. This puts downward pressure on wages, as there is a ready pool of underemployed married women who know that their employers will not pay them more than the cap for their work, which puts single people at a economic disadvantage AND the married women will be harassed with unpaid overtime. This effectively makes women unemployable for about 2 years after birth, underemployed and likely not returning to their original profession for the next 6 years or so as they are effectively forced to work crappy part time jobs to make ends meet. There’s a whole underclass of service industry jobs done by these women.

    There’s also the issue of societal expectations for the K-6 stages of childhood, particularly afternoon time for elementary students. While latchkey elementary school kids exist, it’s still fundamentally frowned upon. In much the same way as 7-12 grade students, having required afternoon structured activities could potentially alleviate that pitfall effectively requiring a stay-at-home parent.

    So, the real solution is

    1. Substantial parental tax rebates that mostly plateau at the third kid (relative to the added costs of another kid), so there is a huge incentive to have 2 kids. This extends until the age of majority (20 in japan), and should be combined with the one time special birth payment, paid for by the local city. Make the actual economic proposition that having a child is a net monetary positive for that couple.
    2. free national daycare/kindergarten from age 0-6 with extended hours support (dropping off early and picking up late). Perhaps vouchered as well to accommodate the private sector. This gets women back into their careers faster, so no blanks in their resumes and don’t fall behind in their professions. (The general argument thus far is that people who were away from their industry for substantial periods of time are fundamentally less economically valuable than those who stayed, which is why men get paid more at the same age compared to mothers, as a direct economic argument by employers)
    3. proper structured activities for elementary school kids to keep them out of trouble until 5pm at least with the school hosting/supervising kids who need to leave later due to late returning parents. This makes sure that mothers can work actual fulltime jobs, because realistically anyone who is leaving two hours early every day will get lower performance reviews.

  36. The last recommendation:
    “Ease the economic cost associated with child rearing.” is necessary for any possibility of fertility increase in Japan.

    The problem with Japan is the constant “nickel and diming” you are subjected to while going about one’s life in Japan. These costs are greatly magnified for those who have kids. A good example is the cost (around $2,000) for school uniforms for each child. If the Japanese government is serious about increasing fertility rates, they will do something about these costs. If they don’t, then they are not serious about the issue. My guess is that they will do nothing about the costs associated with child rearing simply because too many people and companies make their money from these costs.

  38. Make having kids an asset or at least not a burden and people will have them.

    People in developed countries have stopped having kids because they are so expensive in time, resources and money.

    In developing countries and in the past, kids were perceived an asset and an investment, given they could help the family take care of the crops and cattle, and many other chores, like defending your land from neighboring clans/families when they grew up.

    Of course, we shouldn’t strive to make kid’s labor legal. We rather should strive to make parenting much cheaper and easier.

    Give tax benefits, free childcare (this can be public or by reimbursement), even give a per kid UBI to parents. Yes, bribe people to have them.

    Also, push forward with AI caretaker tech, for eventually have them watching over the kids 24/24. So they don’t get lost or hurt without anyone noticing. Later use better tech for having robot nannies.

    Having kids should be as easy as possible while maintaining them safe, for enticing people to lay down and think of the future.

  39. In vitro chldren are less vital and healthy. We still don’t understand and have not even researched the full impact of coming to life artificially.

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