Venezuela’s consumer prices rose 834,000 percent in the 12 months through October, according to a report published by the opposition-controlled Congress. The IMF expects hyperinflation to reach 10 million percent in 2019.
The number of private businesses operating in Venezuela has plummeted from 650,000 in 1998 to only 140,000 in September.
Venezuela has $150 billion (163% of GDP) in debt. They are late on $6-billion worth of debt interest payments.
The estimate of the number of venezuelans who have fled the country has passed 3 million.
Oil production collapse seems truly unsustainable
From 2002 through 2015, Venezuela had stable oil production at 2.5 million barrels of oil per day. It slid to 2 million barrels of oil per day from the start of 2016 to mid-2017. In September, 2018 oil production was about 1.28 million barrels of oil per day. This was half the 2002-2015 level. In October, oil production was at about 1.0 million barrels of oil per day.
Venezuela oil figures are not clear but analysts believe oil production has fallen below 1 million barrels per day or will in November or December.
The worst-case scenario is oil output falls to a couple of hundred thousand bpd in the months ahead and into 2019. Oil is 95% of its export revenues. Collapsing to that level will mean many core supporters will not be paid.
It seems that if Maduro cannot pay off thousands of key generals and military officers then he will finally lose control.
Brian Wang is a prolific business-oriented writer of emerging and disruptive technologies. He is known for insightful articles that combine business and technical analysis that catches the attention of the general public and is also useful for those in the industries. He is the sole author and writer of
nextbigfuture.com, the top online science blog. He is also involved in angel investing and raising funds for breakthrough technology startup companies.
He gave the recent keynote presentation at Monte Jade event with a talk entitled the Future for You. He gave an annual update on molecular nanotechnology at Singularity University on nanotechnology, gave a TEDX talk on energy, and advises USC ASTE 527 (advanced space projects program). He has been interviewed for radio, professional organizations. podcasts and corporate events. He was recently interviewed by the radio program Steel on Steel on satellites and high altitude balloons that will track all movement in many parts of the USA.
He fundraises for various high impact technology companies and has worked in computer technology, insurance, healthcare and with corporate finance.
He has substantial familiarity with a broad range of breakthrough technologies like age reversal and antiaging, quantum computers, artificial intelligence, ocean tech, agtech, nuclear fission, advanced nuclear fission, space propulsion, satellites, imaging, molecular nanotechnology, biotechnology, medicine, blockchain, crypto and many other areas.
