Did Italy New Coronavirus Cases Peak Four Days Ago?

Italy might have had its new case peak four days ago. This would mean that the infection peak was 11-15 days ago. This would suggest that the quarantines did bend the curve on infections.

If Italy can follow China reduction in infections then Italy could see new cases drop below 3500 in another week and below 1500 in two to three weeks.

On 9 March 2020, the government of Italy under Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte imposed a national quarantine. On March 8, 2020 there was the quarantine on 16 million people in Northern Italy.

5210 new cases and 683 new deaths in Italy. 4th day in a row with daily new cases below the 6557 peak reached on March 21. Protezione Civile chief Borrelli, the person usually holding the daily press conference, is at home with a fever, while the former chief Bertolaso is now hospitalized in Milan after having tested positive to the virus.

Gov. Andrew Cuomo announced March 20 that all New York residents must stay home “to the maximum extent possible,” an order that became effective at 8 p.m. Sunday March 22.

The San Francisco Bay Area has had a shelter in place order since March 16.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom announced a statewide shelter-in-place order on March 19.

SOURCES – San Francisco & California shelter orders, Worldometers, John Hopkins
Written By Brian Wang, Nextbigfuture.com

6 thoughts on “Did Italy New Coronavirus Cases Peak Four Days Ago?”

  1. I’m sadly to inform you that you got your numbers wrong.
    Infection rate Corona goes exponentially, people with no signs can still spread it.
    While also it is keeping hospital much longer in use per patient.
    All ages dye from it, not only 70+ its dangerous to all people.
    It doesnt matter if your a sport fanatic, or are in good health, its deadly to all.
    Dead rate 3x normal flu

  2. Keep in mind it doesnt mean the disease is over, until 0 people are sick this disease would easily hit the charts again. It only means the pressure on the hospitals is slightly less, but its not over yet. The curve is flatterned and has becomme longer, with likely echo waves of next infections (i hate to say this).

  3. Tee hee hee…

    Its like, “And so on, and so forth… to summarize: hard-isolation, facial protection and touch-barrier measures work. How are the Italians doing? Oh… wait, significantly better! Guess that the quarantine works! Who knew?”

    Mmmm … right.
    WE DID all along, idjits!

    My bro and I ventured out to the local festive feeding-family-of–6-on-eight-bucks-a-day store, and it was kind of interesting.  

    Most every normally stocked name-brand thing of passing value, gone. Many off-brand synths, … gone. Or thin. In some product lines, only the off-off, über-expensive items remained. Senator Florantine’s Flour, guaranteed to be harvested by the teeth of virgins, and ground by sweaty donkeys, the Old Country way.  

    But, not worth the coin.

    No shrimps in the freezer, no wings either.  No butter, but plenty of alternatives. I wonder how they coërced the cows to stop delivering cream?

    Lots of ‘noes’, across the board. 
    Yet, at 6:30 AM, the shoppers were wearily civil.  
    No fisticuffs. 
    Lots of space between carts.  
    Everyone in checkout fighting credit-cash-total-product tradeoffs.

    And there were almost no cars on the road.
    well, a lot of them, but nothing like a commute.
    Even thinner than 6:30 AM on a Sunday.

    Like 10 PM weekday traffic. 

    PS: no apparent gouging.  
    Just empty shelves. 

    PLENTY of beer and wine tho!
    Surprising, that. 

    From the trenches, ⋅-=≡ GoatGuy ✓ ≡=-⋅

  4. Note that Y2K was a non-event because a lot of work was done to make it so. Can we minimize Covid similarly?

  5. Italian quarentine measures was waaay less, than chinese version
    Factories only closed on March 22., not 10, and lot of italian people broke the rules, at least 50000 got caught and fined.
    Which means, their infection numbers going to go down lot more slowly, than chinese numbers

  6. Our generations Y2K. More people are dying from the H1N1 flu ravaging the U.S. this year than what we see from Wuhan Virus. A young man died in CA from Wuhan. Horrible to see a young life lost to disease; sympathies to the family. According to the CDC 149 American children have died this year from the flu, mostly H1N1; no headlines, no sensationalism, no fear mongering. H1N1 is too passe apparently. If you are in a high risk group, stay home. If you interact with those in a high risk group, assume you will kill them. The rest of us, wash hands etc, but let’s get this country moving again. Life is not a risk-free endeavor.

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