Italy reports 1835 are the people who test positive for the coronavirus. 149 people have recovered.
There are 742 patients hospitalized with symptoms, 166 are in intensive care, while 927 are in home isolation.
This seems to indicate that three times as many people end in intensive care than die. It means that 11 times as many people are hospitalized than die.
The number of people infected in the individual regions is as follows: 1254 in Lombardy, 335 in Emilia-Romagna, 273 in Veneto, 51 in Piedmont, 35 Marche, 22 in Liguria, 17 in Campania, 13 in Tuscany, 9 in Friuli Venezia Giulia, 7 in Lazio, 7 in Sicily, 5 in Abruzzo, 4 in Puglia, 2 in Umbria, 1 in Calabria and 1 in the Autonomous Province of Bolzano.
SOURCE – Italian Health Ministry
Written By Brian Wang, Nextbigfuture.com
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
China started from 1 case, while US likely started from hundreds of cases. Here in Belgium we are finally publicly realizing we are in need of masks, ventilators, tests, that is too late. US is in a similar situation but your health care is overall less developed because you don’t have nationalized health care. That means less intensive care units, some sick people not going to doctor because of cost concerns. Reserves of material are likely going to be small because private clinics don’t want to ‘waste’ money on big stockpiles. Add to that political unwill to take drastic measures to slow the spread and the near future looks gloomy for the elderly in the US.
Yes, it spread around the world to lots of countries where people were fighting wars in trenches, like across the United States.
THIS this is what i have been trying to get through to people. In the US and elsewhere everything got made “economical” with the rise of globalism, mass data collection, and just in time manufacturing. The Hospitals and others Just as much if not more so.
We just dont have the beds or doctors people.
But no god forbid we stop all airtravel but that which is truely necessary.
Because nobody reads Jurassic Park or The Andromeda Strain anymore.
”Let’s put a BSL-4 lab there, what could go wrong?”
That’s why you buy the food you normally eat so that if it all blows over you didn’t waste money.
And I liked the comment in another article that the first step (that you should definitely get started by about 2010) is to make sure you have as much lung function as possible to start with.
Walk, run or ride the bike to work. Especially if the alternative is crowding in with plague bearing peasantry on public transport.
Yes, “they” (senior central government) didn’t know how serious it was, because “they” (regional government and health authorities) took aggressive, oppressive steps to stop anyone talking about it.
And absolutely this leaves other countries with zero excuse (unless they just don’t have the resources to do anything, I’m not going to blame South Sudan or somewhere.)
If you are 40 or older or not in good health, the strategy should simply be to avoid getting it. Simplistic, but anything with a sizable risk of death should be minimized…if you intend to live a long healthy life.
And we don’t know if this persists in the body. Viruses that persist in the body can pose later risk. The obvious example is chicken pox later causing shingles, but there are several that may hasten our deaths.
Other viruses can just lower you quality of life after recovery, like Ebola. What if there is reduced lung function that never is restored? Then down the road it may make you more vulnerable to the flu or some lower respiratory disease.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virus_latency
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/07/150702073937.htm
I would like to see a study done to see what kind of latent infections are present in supercentenarians. I suspect most of them got Cytomegalovirus either late or not at all.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19035529
We tend to accumulate these latent infections as we age.
At first they did not know how contagious it was, or even what it was. We have no excuse.
They certainly could have taken more action a week sooner…perhaps two. And they should have assumed it was very contagious from the start. For viruses, guilty until proven innocent, is the best approach. It spread in the hospital initially very profusely…multiplying its eventual spread.
Step 7: Plan a terrorist attack using NBC weapons of mass destruction and post it on the internet.
So, no need to panic because even if you die from lack of preparation, at least many other people will survive.
Most labs keep their samples in live critters, it doesn’t freeze well apparently.
Premeditated assault and murder are a bad look no matter who your political opponents are. you should go home and rethink your life.
That isn’t a completely stupid idea.
Best of all is to get sick right at the end, when all the facilities are most set up, the (surviving) medical staff all know what to do, but you’ve missed the crowds so you actually get lots of resources thrown at you, and maybe there is some vaccine developed.
But, in the event that it all goes horribly terrible, best to get sick now while there are still empty hospital beds and respirators available.
The Spanish flu was most certainly devastating, but we ended up weathering that storm. Even if this ends up the same way, we may also weather the storm. It would still totally suck, though. T_T
In the best case scenario of not needing to panic but they early panic-buy, at least they’ll have plenty of complete protein for the next year! 😀
Get sick early.
If this thing goes on like the Spanish flu did because we were too slow it’ll be a disastrous result.
China did NOT lock things down quickly. China let things go for a month until it was too obvious to ignore. THEN they locked things down. Hard.
Still no reason to repeat the process in every country.
We see this in every disaster. From the fall of the World Trade centre to the sinking of the Titanic and the Chernobyl explosion. There are people standing there urging people not to panic, and the people who listen end up dead.
You can see why: most of the time things DO work out OK, and the people urging calm end up looking sensible and clever. But broken clock etc. etc. They always urge you not to panic, so they aren’t providing any new information.
And if you panic too early, then what? You end up looking a bit silly with cupboard full of stale rice and lots of beans to eat over the next year.
This is encouraging:
https://3dprintboard.com/showthread.php?10778-3D-Printed-Ventilation-Manifold
I really hope that someone has a plan for how the need for ventilators can be met if our need far exceeds the current supply.
Agreed. It’s like we refuse to learn. We’ve had previous pandemics in which the public health message was, “Don’t panic” while the virus came right across borders without an attempt to stop it. Even now that we can see from China what very well may happen, we keep the routes of transmission open until it is too late.
Thats grim on the intensive care stat. It means if we get overwhelmed our death rate could skyrocket. China made the right decision to lock things down quickly, and we are failing to follow the example.