Tesla Bull Case Scenarios for 2021

Tesla Daily is providing an update on Tesla. Rob discusses the fact that Benchmark funds need to buy Tesla.

SP500 index funds acquired Tesla shares Dec 18, 2020. They got in at $695.

Benchmark funds that did not get Tesla before are now down about 50 basis points or 0.5% when compared to the SP500 Index funds.

If Tesla went to $1400 the Benchmark funds that chose not to have any Tesla would be down 160 basis points. They would need to find ways of outperforming the Index funds by 1.6%. It would be safer for those managers to just get in and trade on other stocks where they knew they could win all the time.

Tesla is running now to $880 based upon the Benchmark fund buying frenzy. However, there is limited visibility into this action.

The earnings that Tesla will announce will be very good on Jan 27, 2021. We know this because of the announced 180,000 cars sold and delivered in Q4. Net income could triple. This would take some of the edge off of the people concerned about price-earnings ratio. However, Tesla is already up almost 30% from SP inclusion day (Dec 18) and it could double or triple again in 2021.

As Tesla, goes over $1000 per share again. They can announce another 5:1 stock split. The last time they did this it drove the stock price up 50%.

In the second quarter, the Berlin and the Texas factories could complete and start making cars. The 4680 pilot battery plant could ramp.

Tesla will have over $30 billion to drive expansion and execution. Tesla could raise another $10 billion for less than 1% dilution when the stock is over $1000. Tesla could buy Volkswagen for less than 10% dilution when Tesla stock is over $1000. I do not think Tesla will buy Volkswagen, but they can buy pieces of car makers or battery makers. If some of the legacy carmakers go under, then Tesla can scoop up factories like they scooped up the first Fremont plant.

When Tesla is at $1 trillion the domination game becomes easier.

I think a double in stock price from here in 2021 is very likely and possibly a triple. Tesla will produce 1 million cars in 2021.

SOURCES- Tesla Daily, Brian Wang analysis
Written By Brian Wang, Nextbigfuture.com (Brian owns shares of Tesla)

11 thoughts on “Tesla Bull Case Scenarios for 2021”

  1. None of those people made our politicians do what they did. 
    And the communism that could easily have swept in, could just as easily have killed many more. How many died under Stalin? Pol Pot? Any ideology that is without moral rules or accountability beyond the imagined needs of the "Party" would be quite capable of mass deaths. Usually they kill the intelligentsia, and land owners. How many land owners were killed in China? Anyone's guess. Millions certainly: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_killings_under_communist_regimes
    You might have been just as angry today that we did not support Saddam, had we not.

    Experts put the civilian dead at 100,000 in the Iran-Iraq war.
    Had the US not interfered with support, how many Iraqis would have been killed by the victor? 1m? 5m? Sword-tip conversions? Today they both have countries.

    The Soviets had invaded Afghanistan, and very well could have moved into Iran and Iraq without Western support.

    The cultural glorification of war, personal ambition are at the crux of Saddam's actions.

    He was not given the OK. And he was never given enough to win. The draw was the preferred result of the US. It is unfortunate that it ever started and that it took so long for the groups to accept that outcome.

    The conflict ended as a result of efforts of the UN. The very idea of a UN was an American Idea. https://www.un.org/en/sections/history/history-united-nations/index.html
    How many wars have been ended as a result of the efforts of the UN?

    Reply
  2. Ah, and the "oppressive piece of human garbage" is the right name I would give to you, hoping that garbage does not sue me

    Just saying

    Reply
  3. None of whom ever harmed you or your kind. They were just living their lives. That waste of flesh murdered more people personally than most soldiers will in an entire military career.

    Solemani was an oppressive piece of human garbage from a despotic country that stones gay men and hangs raped women, and it pleases me greatly Solemani's death has your ilk so worked up.

    It means it was a just kill and he was strategically valuable.

    But hey, on the bright side once again you've shown where your empathy lies, and it really isn't a good look for you… It really isn't.

    Reply
  4. Even for a admirer of E M I think this is a very risky situation, imagine for a second what could happen if he has a sudden accident, a hearth attack or a Russian command hired by VW kill him?

    Reply
  5. Brian is staying silent on his friend Trump being kicked out of office.
    And he is silent on Iran kicking the buttocks of the USA

    Why?

    L

    Reply

Leave a Comment