Ark Invest Believes a Tesla Robotaxi Future is the Most Likely Scenario

ARK’s 2025 price target for Tesla is $3,000. ARK’s 25% bear case is for Tesla at $1,500 in 2025. The 25% bull case is Tesla could be worth roughly $4,000 per share. They published their model on Github and invite you to test your own assumptions and/or craft visualizations from the simulation outputs for our assumptions.

Ark does not model Tesla’s utility energy storage or solar business in our models. Nextbigfuture notes that Tesla making 500 Gigawatt hours of extra batteries in 2025 not used in cars would be worth another $500 billion in share value. They also have not modeled bitcoin assumptions in their model. For ARK’s work on bitcoin as corporate cash, please download our latest Big Ideas presentation.

Ark Invest has growing confidence in Tesla full self-driving becoming a robotaxi service. They think those scenarios are more than 50% likely by 2025.

SOURCES – Ark Invest, Met Kevin
Written by Brian Wang, (Brian owns shares of Tesla)