Tesla Texas and Berlin Tiny Production Q4 2021 and Production Ramp Q1 2022

Tesla Texas and Tela Berlin factories could start production of Model Y vehicles in completed buildings while completing the rest of the factories. This would enable small pilot production of a few hundred to a few thousand vehicles in Q4 2021. Close observers of the new Tesla factory construction expect the main production ramps to substantial numbers of vehicles in Q1 of 2022.

SOURCES – Joe Tegtmeyer
Written By Brian Wang, Nextbigfuture.com (Brian owns shares of Tesla)

15 thoughts on “Tesla Texas and Berlin Tiny Production Q4 2021 and Production Ramp Q1 2022”

  1. 4-door mustang not a real mustang. It's a sedan with the same name. You should probably compare the sales to sedan numbers.

  2. I have other stocks (and even some cryptos). My plan is simple – just hold for years to come. I think all of my assets will continue to do well over the long run. Sure there will be some volatility but I do not try to time the markets. Wake me up in 10 years and let's see where all of it goes. Cheers!

  3. Now, what all that driving and fast charging is going to do to battery life is another issue still…

  4. You are correct, sir. I am estimating that if I can get a full charge in 6 hours, and the car has a range of 400 miles, I should be good. One of the things I am curious about are the long road trips I take 5-8 times/year. How many of the rural areas that I need to travel to, will have an adequate amount of level 3 chargers (or even super chargers). I have mapped out some of my routes looking for charging stations on the way. It's mostly doable, but at a big cost of efficiency and productivity. Waiting around for my car to charge during the day is just burning time.

  5. I will check into that. As long is there are not a safety issues (lack of circuit feedback, no fuses for short circuits, or heat problems) I could go for that. I guess it come downs to where the charging management software/circuitry system is located. I may be remembering wrong, but some of the chargers determine how fast electricity is moved into the car batteries and at what power.

  6. 35 000 miles a year is going to mean that your transport decisions will not match conventional wisdom in a lot of areas.

  7. Luckily, when I built my house the contractor suggested I put the breaker box in the garage. Going against my usual bad judgement, I listened to him. For once I made a good choice. Even a broke clock is right 2 out of 1420 minutes in a day…

    Oh, by the way, the breaker box is 18 inches from the meter.

  8. Charging at the lower rate will extend battery life anyway, and make running the heat pump while charging less likely. You may find a way to get creative depending on where your service/meter, and main breaker box are. You may be able to tap power at the meter by putting a small breaker box. I already have a breaker box on the pole that holds my meter, I can put the socket on the same pole.
    Most of the cost of the job will be cable, the labor for the run, and the charging station if you go that route. Try to find a way to make a short run.

  9. You save a lot of money if you install a NEMA 15-40, or 15-50 socket, instead of a "charging station". You will be able to charge a little faster, simply because the car is programmed not to take the full rating off the socket, but it's a big difference between the costs. Any electrician has installed lots of 15-40, mostly for dryers. Construction types get weird when dealing with unfamiliar hardware.

  10. I have some Tesla shares but I am afraid of adding more since their P/E ratio is sky high. If the share price drops below $400, I likely will buy some; if not, I am happy with what I have – I wish Tesla success and hope that they continue to do well.

  11. I know you're right, but it's works out to $100/month when added to my refi, and I'll pay for the convenience (when I need it). I drive about 35,000 miles/year, sometimes getting home late and leaving early the next morning.

    It might even be a plus when selling my home. I think vehicles with greater battery capacity (especially pickup trucks and large SUVs) will be coming in the future, and level 3 charging will be enticing to prospective homebuyers. I live in a place where pickups and SUVs dominate.

  12. I can't see how you could financially justify $15k spend. If your daily mileage is not huge, 120v overnight might suffice.

  13. I am in the process of adding on to my house, and considering a level 3 charger in my garage. Total cost is $15,000, but amortized at current interest rates, I don't mind.

    Do we have any demand forecasts for all of Tesla products over the next 18 months? I'm curious, because after our current backlog of new vehicles is reduced, how long until used EVs become reasonably priced? Wouldn't mind a used EV to learn what I can tolerate and can't in an EV.

    Haven't read about the Tesla Semi in a while, or how many preorders for the pickup truck.

    I'm also trying to gage sales and demand for Ford and GM eVehicles. The Bolt just got a recall for catching fire.


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