Tesla will be celebrating the 300,000th car-produced YTD on September 29. This would indicate over 45,000 cars produced in September.
1800 cars per day (1000 Model Y and 800 Model 3) would be 54,000 cars in thirty days if every day had that production.
2400 cars per day (1600 Model Y and 800 Model 3) would be 72,000 cars in thirty days if every day had that production.
If Tesla is able to produce at or near 72,000 cars per month from China and 48,000 cars per month from Fremont in the fourth quarter then this would be 360,000 cars plus any new production from the Berlin and Austin factories. This would put the production of 1 million Tesla cars back as a possibility for 2021.
It would also mean that China and Fremont producing at this fourth quarter level would mean 1.4 million cars in 2022 plus whatever Berlin and Austin produce. 2 million cars Tesla in 2022 would be possible.
SOURCES – Teslarati
Written by Brian Wang, Nextbigfuture.com (Brian has shares of Tesla)
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
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My biggest question is how many new power plants will need to be built whenever 20% of the cars are EVs, and then when 40% of the cars are EVs. ICE cars don't put pressure on the grid, but millions and millions of EVs will. Which utilities are starting the construction of plants to keep up with the demand?
I suspect that such a calculation would depend on all sorts of assumptions that may or may not be accurate.
SOmeone probably has the current numbers (boom, boom) but any serious expansion of EV numbers pushes into different parts of the population, with different usage behaviour.
While both cars from both factories had issues in certain places, the British chap in the Youtube video above found the gaps on the Fremont, CA cars to be slightly better overall. Of course, it could be the case of really good day in the California plant and a really bad day in the Chinese plant.
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-model-y-standard-range-lfp-battery-approved-for-sales-in-china/
The made in China models have some additional improvements vs Fremont version. The China version tend to use more LFP (iron) batteries. They use about 90% locally sourced parts. They have more advanced production lines.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RV3rv4d9qUg
very comparable builds.
Does anyone know if Chinese Tesla’s are equipped exactly like other Tesla’s? Example: Same interior materials, or do they allow clothe interiors and other small money saving changes here and there?
This is great news!
By the way, is there anyone on here that knows how many pure EVs the US grid can support with its current structure? Which utilities are ahead of the curve? Which utilities are moving too slowly? I keep reading conflicting reports.