What is Coming by 2035?

The coming decade will likely see the biggest changes of our lives. These will be bigger than the internet and the smartphone.

Brian Wang gave a talk on the future to the Technology Universe Conference.

All of the biggest developments for the future will be mostly arriving in a major way over the next decade.

We will get thousands of times more space flights every year and even progress towards immortality.

45 thoughts on “What is Coming by 2035?”

  1. Sorry, for a guy who writes so well and is somewhat of a Renaissance man, his in-person nervous persona, detracts from his delivery of the subjects, Just some constructive feedback, needs to work hard on that.

  2. Any thoughts on cultured meat Brian? If achieved and leveled up, I think it could be a major shift in how humans eat and the impact of agriculture on the earth.

  3. If SpaceX will do it, StarLink could be a ‘game changer’ for less developed areas by providing a village downlink that shares their service over local WiFi to maybe 100 people. $100/month shared by maybe 20 families becomes a more affordable ~$5/month for internet (and probably also voice over IP) to bring the poorest billion people onto the internet.

  4. Don’t forget the AI apathocalypse, where the AI will be able to perform a job better than most people.

    We will introduce a basic income to keep humans fed and safe, but the cultural change from _having to work_ to _work for fun_ is similar to the change we force upon hunter gatherer societies such as aboriginals and Eskimo when western culture want to help them.

    A lot of alcoholism and general apathia follows, as your highly regarded spear throwing skills becomes useless in a word with a supermarket.

  5. on ~17.40min on video explaining exponential growth from Mars to Kuiper Belt, Oort Cloud: What’s the energy converter, energy transmission for all exponential growth that far remote from sun?

      • Thanks for the ideas, Brian.
        What might be ready for this purpose (size, weight and power, scalable) until 2035, if nuclear (fusion, fission) or beam transmission driven?

        IIUC, sun’s irradiation would be ~1/3-1/4 (~300W/m²) on Mars surface, ~1/100 (~12W/m²) on Jupiter or ~1/333 (~3W/m²) on Saturn distance, compared to ~1350-1000W/m² for Earth space-surface values.
        Lasers are ~50% efficiency for power beams, but no values known to me for beam efficiency on increasing distances or possible distances at all for power beaming.

  6. Come on, Brian… I admire your optimism, but what groundbreaking inventions happened in the last 13 years?? What changed in our life since 2009? Nothing, everything is pretty much the same… So, I’m guessing that in 2035, if I’m still alive, I will be living pretty much the same way I am now. I’ll finally be retired by then – thank god – and I’ll be much older, sicker and frailer and looking forward to my next residence: a hole in the ground.

    • Since 2009 – PV panels and electric cars make economic sense, reusable rockets, twitter. 25 Nuclear Fusion start-ups. Death of most newspapers.

    • I am expecting these things to get major initial developments by 2035. SpaceX getting Mechazilla, orbital starship and hourly launches and fleets of starship to Mars. The first billion Teslabots by 2035. Going to trillion by 2100. Sending the first partially self replicating gigafactory and mining systems to Mars by 2030-2035. I will detail out the timelines in a follow up video. This was a brief overview for a 20 minute talk.

      • Brian,

        I love you man, but a billion Tesla bots, mining systems on Mars, fleets of starships to Mars, all by 2035? I mean I’m wildly optimistic, but you put me to shame.

        I would LOVE to be wrong, but I just can’t see any of that happening in 13 years.

        Landing humans on Mars for the first time and a working Tesla bot that functions, I think are very optimistic for that timeline…

    • Do not look at promises or predictions by people who are not doing the work. Look at what is being worked upon and what will get scaled. Flying cars – we have larger flying drones and there are some flying cars in Dubai but those use cases maximally scales up to be a bit more popular than Cessna private planes. Maybe the military flying Hummer as a helicopter alternative. Energy efficiency and speedwise it makes more sense for transportation to go to robotaxi self driving electric cars that go up to 120-150 mph. Some in vacuum tubes can go to higher speeds.

      • means avoiding duplicating infrastructure (remotely from main tracks or distribution connectors) with more intelligent multiple-use for pathways or avoiding matter/material for infrastructure with airways, waterways (unpaved paths) being/getting routes towards destinations?

    • Don’t give up. My son had melanoma last year and it had spread to his lymph nodes. A decade ago that was terminal. At Sloan-Kettering they gave him a course of shots for his immune system (no chemo) and it all went away.

    • 1. Cryptocurrency still at 1.14T total market caps. Has had substantial impact.

      2. Genetic engineering and advanced biotech.
      Pfizer and Moderna have a combined $320B of valuation mostly using MRNA to make the COVID vaccines.

      3. Antiaging $12B of funding and several treatments are getting through all clinical trial phases.

      4 .DNA Nanotech and nanotech
      Roswell biotechnology commercializing molecular electronics and hybrid nanotech with molecular electronics for sensors and data storage.

      5. AI.
      Tesla self driving and Autopilot have made over $1 billion in revenue. FSD could see this increase to $10-50billion by 2027.

      The State Of AI:
      Q1 2022 Report

      After a record-breaking 2021, global AI funding and exits drop in Q1’22, even as deals remain high.
      In Q1’22, the artificial intelligence (AI) sector saw a quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) decline in exits as well as mega-round and total global funding. Despite the drop, this was AI’s second-best quarter for deals.

      The CBI Insights State of AI Q1’22 Report to dig into global investment trends such as:

      Over $15B in global funding — and the industries attracting the most AI deals
      The largest M&A deals of the quarter, including acquisitions by Intel and Snowflake
      The industry that saw a 32% plummet in AI funding
      The 14 new unicorns born in Q1’22

      6. Quantum computers have achieved a lot of progress and funding as well

      7. Robotics and self driving cars. Tesla with FSD and Teslabot all tracking to what I had predicted.

      Pretty much all of things looking pretty good for my 2017 to 2027 predictions. I will do more of a writeup for an article.

      • I’ll allow 15 out of 16 anyways (seems like China is going to fall short, and then shorter, and I don’t see any recovery coming in the next couple of decades–or more, but 94% is still an A.

  7. By 2035 – Next Big Future will have a comment system that’s been running without a hitch for at least 12 months! 😉

  8. What’s coming by 2035? Odds are my ex and her slimy lawyer will be finding ways to squeeze me for more cash.

  9. The speech to text captioning on that video is more of a distraction than a value, due to the extremely common errors. Youtube’s captioning is generally better.

  10. I would wager it’s the orbital transport singularity, additive manufacturing (AKA 3d-printing) of composite objects (metal + polymer + ceramic), possibly also of living tissue, and probably the asymmetric-key apocalypse with the advent of actually-useful quantum computation devices. That last one is bound to be a big mess.

    • I wonder if the cryptokey-apocalypse will get as much fear as Y2K did, as quantum computing gets close.

      I’d guess we’d see quantum cracking capability publically demo’d 5-10 years before the capability became sufficiently available (outside the NSA, etc) to be a societal threat. That seems long enough to switch over to new quantum-resistant algorithms, at least for those who understand the risks.

      The big issue is more likely to be governments once more trying to prevent their citizens from having access to private information and communications.

      • The thing is, it may be that tomorrow they’ll come up with an algorithm which will solve our problems, but for now every decent so-called “post-quantum” algorithm has a key size which is measured in the hundreds to thousands of bytes for an equivalent security to the 32-byte Curve25519 that’s the industry standard in asymmetric crypto. That will kill a lot of applications dead, like Bitcoin, for example.

        Sure, SPHINCS+ seems to have 32-byte public keys, but it seems like any given key can only be used a limited number of times, which screws up its use in the blockchain for a different reason.

        I hope I’m being paranoid and pessimistic, but so far I don’t think I am.

        • So many people make this mistake.
          Me “I’ve seen a UFO”
          Person who doesn’t understand the meaning of words “An alien spaceship?”
          Me. “Do you know what U stands for?”

          • Well, if you can’t identify the alien species or civilization it comes from, it would still be unidentified even if we knew it to be alien.

            I mean, for several examples of unidentified things, we can sometimes know what it is NOT, but it remains unidentified because we are not sure what it is

            “Sir unidentified vessel on the radar. We know it’s not one of ours”

          • U stand for Unknown; as to the extrapolation to “alien” likely that happens because:

            1)Craft exhibiting characteristics that are difficult to explain as far as extremely rapid acceleration/deceleration sharp direction changes that are incompatible with our understanding of what the laws of physics say is possible.
            2) Inability to come up with any plausible explanation of how ourselves (black project) or terrestrial adversaries (Russia/China) managed to achieve implied breakthroughs in power/propulsion that apparently have been around since at least the ’50’s. That’s how long (at least) we have observed craft making such maneuvers; likely possibility said tech is older than even than that. Difficult to see how the “leap” to the explanation for “U” as alien is unwarranted; seems plausible enough to me.

          • Yeah, it’s clearly swamp gas from a weather balloon that was trapped in a thermal pocket and reflected the light from Venus. 😁

  11. My predictions for what will be highlighted include: AI, Tesalabots, humans starting to live off Earth, automated warfare, FSD, maybe small nuclear, but not crypto, 3D homes, Methuselah singularity, US civil war 2.0, or fusion (quite yet). Looking forward to seeing.

    • I’m down for all that. Particularly the Methuselah Singularity and living off Earth. I adore our planet, don’t get me wrong, but I’ve always wanted to travel “up there” as it were– dangerous or not.

      • I’m 63, going on 64, and though I’m fairly healthy *for my age*, I’m really down with that particular singularity.

        I was a child at a time when men were walking on the Moon, and the sky didn’t seem like any limit. And then it all just sort of stalled, for decades. Space travel, economic growth, you name it. There were advances in theory, but they somehow just never got applied outside of the lab.

        Now to some extent the dam seems to be leaking, and it looks like the future is going to resume… just in time for me to be elderly. You bet I’m down with that particular singularity!

        • Yeah, the Apollo generation kids had the rug pulled under their feet. Then, well, nothing.

          I never saw the Apollo launches, but was raised by a future minded family that did, believing in all kinds of enthusiastic future projections.

          I’m 45, still not bitter about missing the promised future, given the latest developments, but I sometimes feel like I’m not gonna make it to the promised land either.

          So, keep it up SENS researchers, there’s a whole lot of people counting on you.

        • Keep in mind, that astronomically speaking, the Moon is practically adjacent to Earth. It is the tiniest of steps, when seen at that scale. Even Mars at it’s closest is 140 times further, and at it’s furthest, 1000 times further. And the Moon doesn’t really change, Mars, the next step, changes it’s distance every day… right now, it is almost 400 times further away. I know it might seem like it sorta just “stopped” – but it hasn’t, it’s just the next step require enormously greater innovation…

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