Ukraine Pressing Russian Forces in Luhansk and Donetz Regions

Russia has not yet stabilized its defensive lines against Ukraine. Ukraine is still advancing after routing Russian Forces from the Kharkiv region.

Russia had retreated past the Oskil river. Ukraine seems to have pushed beyond the Oskil river in several points.

There are reports of some towns and locations being taken in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts (regions).

Russia does have more forces in Donetsk, so their defensive lines will firm up. However, Russia does not have the ability to move a lot of forces rapidly. Ukraine also cannot overextend its forces. It is possible that Russia loses control of a couple more key cities in Luhansk and Donetsk.

Deutsche Welle News confirms the trouble that Russia is having setting and reinforcing defensive lines. Deutsche Welle News also confirms the figure of 48000 dead Russian soldiers and over 100,000 casualties in total. (12 minutes into the video).

Deep State Map live has some frequently updated maps that visualize information from social media and other sources.

9 thoughts on “Ukraine Pressing Russian Forces in Luhansk and Donetz Regions”

  1. Kinda true but not entirely. Ukraine by having victory in the north has freed around 40k of its soldiers that had to maintain the frontline. That means that in the entire Donabss region they suddenly got the numerical advantage. They supply fo tanks from Poland (300+) and others (100+) means that they will now be able to pressure Donabs defense; cut through the land corridor and basically end this phase of the war within a month, because in Kherson Russians are basically surrounded. Looking at the map it does not seem so, but they are cut off from supplies. they have no munitions coming regularly, food is scarce and soon will run out; fuel the same. In the north Russians are still retreating, and it is uncertain whether Ukrainians will stop to make the mop-up operations or will advance further with the forces that were just freed from frontlines. With taking control over Kupiansk and Izyum Russians have lost the capability to supply their forces in Donbas on regular basis; and more importantly-lost ability to move forces around frontlines in a timely manner. They cannot reinforce the north/east region anymore. Finally, they have 0 reserves. If Ukraine wanted it could go into Russian territory – but it won’t because of politics. This is catastrophic for the Russians.

    • I really do hope its this shiny. But I’ve been reading for the past four months that Russia will shortly run out of tyres/ soldiers/ fuel/ ammo and yet they are still spamming about 10K shells a day.

      • Russians are actually learning fast and adapting. The season of rains is coming, and with that end of the ability to maneuver. In the south Ukrainians are attacking the best of what Russia has; in other areas, they have been discouraged from attack by the US and lead concentrated efforts that avoids unnecessary losses like a catastrophic defense of Severedonetsk. At this point, it is clear that Russia has lost the fight. However that said, they will go down swinging. They want to wait out till rain season and use winter to re-shape their military in organization, numbers, and equipment to start anew in march-April. They think that winter will give them the ability to hit the EU with energy prices and use that to break apart support for Ukraine. Even states that are main supporters of Kiev are in political turmoil and their decisions are unpopular. Ukraine is a bankrupt state that has 0 capability to sustain war efforts by itself. If something happens to that lifeline it will be over for Kyiv. And that’s the Russian plan. To wait out, re-arm, re-organize and re-think. Even when you are losing you can do a lot of harm. And if your opponents drop out you win by default. But militairly Russia just lost.

  2. Sadly, I don’t think the attack in Kherson was intended as a feint. It seems the Russians really have been holding the line down there at great cost to the Ukrainians. Its great news from Karkiv, but perhaps only the end of the beginning.

    • I kind of hope he doesn’t get taken out. It wouldn’t stop the war since everyone in position to take power is of like mind with him and those motivated to take power would do so not because they want to stop the war but because they think they can fight it better than him. They can’t win it but they might be just do a better job than Putin and that would result in a longer, bloodier war for Ukraine. Plus I want Putin to watch the failure he has initiated unfold.

      • The ideal would be for the Russian forces in Ukraine to disintegrate (as they eventually will) before Putin is replaced. This would prevent any successor from (vainly) attempting to escalate further, forcing them to appease their angry supporters and the masses in other ways–such as hunting down all of the current regime’s cronies and placing them on trial, followed by perhaps working to get some sanctions taking off, which would be relatively easy to do if they blamed everything on Putin and pals.

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