The US CDC (Center for Disease Control) is changing to a weekly reporting cadence for COVID line level and aggregate case and death data. They say this will allow for additional reporting flexibility, reduce the reporting burden on states and jurisdictions, and maximize surveillance resources. CDC is moving to a weekly reporting cadence for line level and aggregate case and death data.
The change will start on October 20, 2022. Data processing cutoffs for jurisdictions will be every Wednesday at 10AM ET for line level case and death data, and Wednesday at 5PM ET for aggregate case and death data.
US COVID deaths have had 7-day daily averages of about 280-500 every day since April, 2022. Averaging about 300-400 per day most of the time. If this level was what happens for the next year then we would expect 110000-140000 deaths per year. This would be about two to four times an average annual flu death level of 30k-60k.
The official US COVID cumulative death count is 1.06 million.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
Does anybody still believe anything the CDC says. Especially their ‘Estimates’?
That “new evidence” I alluded to was included in a URL from Pew Research that was deleted from the post. I assume that’s an automated moderation call. The article summarizes the data released this week from the National Bureau of Economic Research and it shouldn’t be hard to find with a simple search. The analysis show the partisan difference in excess mortality between red and blue counties. For those who can’t find it, a slight difference opens before the vaccines debut – probably triggered by red states opening back up and abandoning masks and quarantines (that itself was an early manifestation of segregationists’ fear of being quarantined by their own state apparatus). Once the vaccines debut, the difference really rips open. Then combine those charts with the peaks of Covid infections overall and “excess mortality” pretty clearly becomes Covid- and not vaccine-related.
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7043e2.htm
http://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2022/03/03/the-changing-political-geography-of-covid-19-over-the-last-two-years/
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/03/pandemic-biden-trump-deaths/
World Health estimates put the true total of Covid deaths at 1.2 – 1.5 million – not counting the long term death and disability from Covid-induced conditions like obesity, organ failure, arrhythmias and the like, which will number in the millions. (These stats are even worse in the #1 purveyor of Anti-vax propaganda, Russia.) On a related note, new evidence suggests that low vaccination rates are the main drivers of “excess mortality.” Look at the charts and compare them with Covid case waves and you don’t have any doubts at all.
This partisan skew, by the way, was clear a year ago to anyone combining opinion survey research with mortality numbers among the unvaccinated. I estimated back then that for every 100,000 deaths, the country lost a net 50,000 Republicans from the electorate. I appear to have been off by about 3%. (Sorry.)
Given the distribution of population, this doesn’t appear to be enough to immediately sway election results. This analysis, of course, doesn’t count the depressive effects of inflation, immigration and crime on Democratic affiliation or turnout, but I would point out unvaccinated Republicans are older and far more prone to the effects of long Covid – especially dementia – even when they do manage to survive. Vaccines cut long Covid risks by about half. (Of course, nitric oxide nasal spray and other H2S donors probably reduce it by 95% or more – but, unfortunately, none of these guys paid off the CDC for an endorsement like the Lysol flacks.)
This partisan difference may not last long, particularly if Blue counties capitulate to the cheese-eating surrender monkey containment strategies of the segregationists and fully abandon other effective mitigation measures like masking, air purifiers, contact tracing and actual quarantines. That’s because no vaccine using the present approach was ever likely to produce sterilizing herd immunity to any mRNA respiratory virus. You’ll get a year or two at best. Even though these vaccines have quite significantly reduced short-term mortality, Covid-19 is always on the move but unlike Hollywood sequels, none of the new releases are likely to be that predictable for the immune system. Plus repeated vaccination against variants carries with it a significant risk of backfiring. (And then there’s the potential domino effect of repeated infection, as I pointed out in an earlier comment.) We are locked in for a significant mortality event – the sort that slowly eroded the Roman Empire, together with climate change, lead poisoning, war, foreign hordes invading the border, inflation and deflation. (Ring familiar?)
Until America tackles the epidemics of toxic air quality, nutrition and medical fraud – all spawned by financial crime and corruption – those of us trying to stay healthy will face the most dangerous and expensive environment of any advanced country on the planet.
But hey, at least my CEO stock options are appreciating nicely.
Oh, wait…
That “new evidence” I alluded to was included in a URL from Pew Research that was deleted from the post. I assume that’s an automated moderation call. The article summarizes the data released this week from the National Bureau of Economic Research and it shouldn’t be hard to find with a simple search. The analysis show the partisan difference in excess mortality between red and blue counties. For those who can’t find it, a slight difference opens before the vaccines debut – probably triggered by red states opening back up and abandoning masks and quarantines (that itself was an early manifestation of segregationists’ fear of being quarantined by their own state apparatus). Once the vaccines debut, the difference really rips open. Then combine those charts with the peaks of Covid infections overall and “excess mortality” pretty clearly becomes Covid- and not vaccine-related.
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7043e2.htm
http://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2022/03/03/the-changing-political-geography-of-covid-19-over-the-last-two-years/
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/03/pandemic-biden-trump-deaths/
That “new evidence” I alluded to was included in a URL from Pew Research that was deleted from the post. (I assume that’s an automated moderation call.) The article summarizes the data released last week from the National Bureau of Economic Research and it shouldn’t be hard to find with a simple search. The analysis show the partisan difference in excess mortality between red and blue counties. For those who can’t find it, a slight difference in excess mortality opens before the vaccines debut – probably triggered by red states opening back up and abandoning masks and quarantines (that itself was an early manifestation of segregationists’ fear of being quarantined on the wrong side of their own state apparatus). Once the vaccines debut, the difference really rips open. Then combine those charts with the peaks of Covid infections overall and “excess mortality” pretty clearly becomes Covid- and not vaccine-related. If true, then however the CDC slices its Covid reporting requirements, Covid deaths should remain visible in “excess mortality” stats.
Something’s gotta get ya (old man’s friend). Nobody leaves alive.