Higher 2021 COVID Vaccination Correlates to Increased Excess Deaths in 2022

A preprint paper shows a correlation between high covid vaccination in 2021 and increased excess deaths in 2022 in Europe.

Analysis of 31 countries, January to September, 2022 in 31 EU member states, plus Norway, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Switzerland found that all-cause mortality, increased more the higher the 2021 vaccination uptake. Countries with more covid vaccines in 2021 had higher excess mortality in first 9 months of 2022.

There is a positive correlation between vaccination in 2021 and excess deaths in 2022.

A one percentage point increase in 2021 vaccination uptake, was associated with a monthly mortality increase in 2022 by 0.105%.

When controlling for alternative explanations the association remained robust.

Globally, the Economist estimated that there were between 16.8 and 28.1 million excess deaths from all causes since the onset of the pandemic. The Economist reported in 2023, that mortality in Europe was about 10% higher than expected in a normal year in 2022.

Non-covid excess deaths are about two to three times higher than the official number of COVID deaths.

In hindsight and perhaps at the time, the COVID vaccinations should have been mainly to the most at risk populations. The older and overweight should mostly have been vaccinated. But those who had COVID and died were older and weaker. This should have pulled forward deaths into the pandemic years and we were expecting a drop in deaths in the following year but that did not happen.

Between the spring of 1959 and the end of 1961 some 30 million Chinese starved to death and about the same number of births were lost or postponed. This was the cause of the large spike in global deaths around 1960. The new excess deaths is a spike in global deaths larger than the China starvation deaths around 1960.

53 thoughts on “Higher 2021 COVID Vaccination Correlates to Increased Excess Deaths in 2022”

  1. I should know by now not to get into discussions with anti-vaxxers, who tend to use inductive (rather than deductive) reasoning, and who also tend to distrust numbers form pretty much every authoritative source source. But the misinformation is really quite dangerous. For example, the comment about lipid nanoparticles. Research into liposomal delivery systems has been ongoing since the early 1980s, and approved drugs using the technique in use since the mid-1990s. The body itself uses lipid particles to get nutrients across the cell barrier. The fact that a vanishingly small percentage of people who get a vaccination have a reaction is not surprising. It’s like the disclaimers on TV ads about drugs, giving the potential horrible sounding side effects. But any effect from a vaccination is also possible, at a much higher rate and at a higher likelihood of severity, from Covid itself. The bottom line: in Canada, there have been 145 severe reactions reported from 98 million doses (of all types) administered, or (rounded), for a rate of 0.00015%. On the other hand, there have been 4.62 million cases of Covid reported, with 51,800 deaths, or a rate of 1.1%. Worldwide, there have been more than 13 billion doses administered. We haven’t all died, we haven’t all gone sterile, no-one’s DNA is being rewritten, and the black UN helicopters haven’t delivered us to the alien overlords. But the world had previously come to within 94% of eliminating polio, and since the anti-vaxxer sentiment has grown, polio is now making a comeback and a new generation of children will now be at risk of dying or becoming permanently disabled as a result. As a society, we seem to be going backwards, and that, not vaccination, should frighten everyone.

    • Keep following the serpents up the pole and think you are all knowing. Follow the money genius, figure out the agenda. Who funded gain of function research and implementation of it? Who miraculously came up with a”vaccine in supersonic speed and implantation? The powers to be and their agenda is to thin the herd and gain full control of every aspect of our lives. Follow the money 💰 genius and use your brain to deduce the hidden agenda.

    • I just want to be left alone. If it were smallpox, I would have gotten the jab and there is precedent for forced vaccination with such a disease. Since coldvid was a flu, and I have not gotten the flu shot historically, I just want the libs to leave me TF alone.

      You can revel in the research and science however you want. I’m a ‘scientist’ in my own field and often assume the tone you write with when countering BS. Whenever I see reporting in my area of expertise I see the information butchered and delivered without nuance. I figure it is the same in every field and that I am just ignorant that the information is butchered because I know no better.

      With the shot however… I just wanted to be left alone. I don’t fear death – I have life insurance and my family will still prosper. Coldvid was not a biblical-scale plague or pox. It was hysteria and mass formation psychosis. Sort of the same as everybody tying yellow ribbons around trees and ‘supporting the troops’ (which everybody does with taxes) when Bush began his Iraqi genocide. I have steered clear of the consensus on many subjective issues (such as justness of war, code-red-ness of climate change) most of my adult life.

      Nobody cares. Go get boosted if you like. It’s a ‘free country’; just leave me alone. I’m not afraid of bronchitis. I run 20 miles a week and have a resting heart rate of 60 BPM.

      • RE “mass formation psychosis”

        The official framing of the mass formation (or mass psychosis) “phenomenon” is misleading and wrong in terms of what the whole true reality is. The false hope-addicted psychologists and their acolytes want you to believe this is “just some temporary occasional” madness by the masses when it is but a spike of a CHRONIC madness going on for aeons with “civilized” people — read “The 2 Married Pink Elephants In The Historical Room –The Holocaustal Covid-19 Coronavirus Madness: A Sociological Perspective & Historical Assessment Of The Covid “Phenomenon”” …. https://www.rolf-hefti.com/covid-19-coronavirus.html

        One of these mainstream psychologists who have been spreading this whitewashed reality, Dr. Desmet, also fails to see that the PLANNED Covid Psyop is a TOTALLY deliberate ploy because he doesn’t think (after more than 1 year, even 2+ years, into this total PLANNED scam!) it’s ALL intentionally sinister as he stated in a prior podcast (this makes him witting or unwitting controlled opposition). It should be apparent that Desmet’s lack of truth-telling is then also present in his largely plagiarized truth-distorting mass formation theory.

        In the May of 2022 podcast with James Corbett he stated that “some people tend to overestimate the degree of planning and intentions” (behind the COUNTLESS, VERIFIABLE, FULLY INTENTIONAL, FULLY PLANNED atrocities by the ruling tribe of psychopaths over the last century alone) and see all of it as being planned which Desmet called “an extreme position” … Sound logical thinking is “extreme” and therefore false and sick in his demented delusional view! As MLK pointed out…

        “… normal and healthy discontent .. is being termed extremist.” — Martin Luther King, Jr, 1929-1968, Civil Rights Activist

        In his overpriced misleading whitewashing old material regurgitated book the psychology of totalitarianism he too states that “There are countless … examples that seem to point in the direction of a plan being implemented, such as the fact that the definition of ‘pandemic’ was adjusted shortly before the coronavirus crisis; that the definition of ‘herd immunity’ was changed during the crisis, implying that only vaccines can achieve it … [he continuous with several other obvious facts of an ENTIRELY PLANNED event, especially discerned through the totality of all these facts].” “SEEM to point in the direction of a plan”??? No! They most evidently, clearly, and irrefutably DO demonstrate and prove it IS a COMPLETELY AND FULLY DELIBERATE PlanDemic! A big scam. An Entirely Planned Holocaust against the non-ruling herd of people (see cited link above). A coherent 12-year old kid can figure that out. But not Mr. I’m entitled to teach my deep wisdom to the world professor.

        It clearly shows Desmet’s own complete lunacy. But because almost everyone in the culture is a member of mass formation (madness), including the “woke” people of the alternative media domain, hardly anyone recognizes Desmet’s lunacy. Not surprising that he has even become some type of popular “guru” among the adherents of the alternative media landscape and his whitewashed fake narrative strongly resonates with both mainstream people and alternative mainstream folks.

        “All experts serve the state and the media and only in that way do they achieve their status. Every expert follows his master, for all former possibilities for independence have been gradually reduced to nil by present society’s mode of organization. The most useful expert, of course, is the one who can lie. With their different motives, those who need experts are falsifiers and fools. Whenever individuals lose the capacity to see things for themselves, the expert is there to offer an absolute reassurance.” —Guy Debord

        As expected, “useful expert” Desmet has been also advocating and pushing the false misleading dogma-based non-scientific holy mantra of trust the official science … “everything and everyone should follow the scientific consensus” [ https://archive.ph/9QRmw ] — meaning trust and follow the fabricated fraudulent official consensus science behind the Covid jabs that the killing of millions of people around the world is based on(!!). Are you STILL wondering whom he’s wittingly or unwittingly serving? That’s why it’s no wonder he’s been heavily popularized globally by the dominant psychopathic world instead of censored and suppressed (as lots of truth-tellers have been), yet in his crafty stylish total hypocrisy and public misdirection ploy, he wants you to buy his belief that everyone should have a voice. Everyone BUT the true truth-tellers is what the reality is.

        With his SUPPORT of the Covid holocaust-driving official consensus science he OKAYS and PROMOTES the idiotic herd Covid mass formation (they way the masses “think” and act)! Yet in his absurdity, irrationality and lunacy, with his mass formation/mass psychosis notion he frames the problem as the public being a mere unaccountable non-culpable victim in this phenomenon (the gist of the circular argument is: the masses should change their thinking but they got brainwashed so they’re victims). Nothing could be further from the truth (see first referenced source above).

        With his false use of language Desmet also obscures or hides the true reality instead of directly and uncompromising exposing it — aiding the obfuscation of the vital reality of what the ruling authorities really are. He speaks of ‘the elite’ (as he does in a number of podcasts) when, in reality, they are THE SCUM OF HUMANS because they are REALITY-VERIFIED PSYCHOPATHS (see referenced source above). Yet in the Corbett podcast he “teaches” us that we, the masses, need to start thinking differently. Right… how about YOU start with sane instead of insane thinking/talking/”teaching”/etc, Dr. Desmet?

        How do self-styled “truth-tellers” wake up the masses to the so-called truth when they THEMSELVES use lies with their deceitful fake language???
        No one is “teaching” or “waking up” the ignorant masses to the CORE truths with lies, with the official “language of lies” (see first cited source above).

        This all means Desmet is ALSO a member of the masses of lunatics, an ACTIVE CARD-CARRYING MEMBER of mass formation!!! When, if at all, will he wake up from his state of mass psychosis, his “invisible” stupidity? When, if at all, will he face the TRUE and FULL reality instead of hiding behind fantasies such as his whitewashed “reality” of human civilization?

        It shows we live in a global mental asylum with criminal and/or delusional mainstream psychologists, scientists, and docs as the guards, “teachers” and “therapists” … The blind/criminal/mad leading the blind/criminal/mad; the blind/criminal/mad adhere to the blind/criminal/mad = the human madhouse.

        In October of 2022, once a few people caught onto his public-misdirecting game he took no responsibility for it but dishonestly and conveniently framed himself as the victim of frivolous attacks against him — https://archive.ph/9QRmw

        Desmet is right in that truth-activists must fight against mass formation psychosis (human madness). That also means exposing HIS deeply destructive mad part of it. This comment serves, in part, that objective.

        If you’re in the US and your employer mandates the toxic/lethal COVID jabs, register to receive a free “Medical Exemption Certificate” at https://drgastonmedicalexemption.com or https://lc.org/exempt

        “… doctors and scientists are now on the same lever of public confidence as the scum living in the swamp.” — Unknown in 2022

    • Wrong on every account..do you need the science?
      Keep watching and again it was NEVER A VACCINE. Time to wake up!
      DISCERMMENT needed, logic, getting off of censored platforms and doing your own damn research. You know thinking for yourself. Did you want the Pfizer PERMANENTLY RETRACTED (first temporarily retracted) peer reviewed published science showing the % of you men MY SON’S AGE..20 getting myocarditis. The “news” call it rare, the report is permanent hidden. Imagine the conversation if you’re a parent and sorry Son it’s like Russian roulette and you lose. Your quality of life will never return. SO, ,, tell you research of the true science and get up sensor platforms. I suggest you stand aside because Truth is coming to the surface check out the Twitter seven our trial. I bet you haven’t watched it have you? . The truth is coming out whether you like it or not so hold onto your love ones while you still can:

    • It’s the Mrna that’s the issue. The Mrna and the transhumanism agenda. Wake tf up. World Economic Forum even discusses what Mrna will be used for. Again. Its the MRNA.

    • May I suggest you take a historical look at just polio epidemic of 1954 and the role vaccines played in in its eradication?

    • Didn’t know anyone that died of covid. I’m older and so are my friends. I caught and beat it with over the counter medicine. Now the Pastor that married my wife and I died two days after getting his vaccine. He was young, healthy and strong. I think that more people that exercise strenuously will be having problems in the future.

  2. The people that got the jab and every available booster that are still defending the fabled effectiveness of said jab are going to be a fantastic guinea pig candidate for future human experimentation. You just believe anything your masters tell you and will defend your master to the very end….to hell with your dignity or self-respect!

  3. Here in ZA we have lots of HIV almost 20%. Compared to that Covid was a dud.

    Fauci might say that having HIV protects you from Covid, but he would still recommend the full vax and boosters ad infinitum. By doing that he might kill a lot of people.

    The mighty of the world panicked like little girls. It is fun to watch that.

    • Mngomo. So, 20% HIV. What exactly does that mean, and how has it affected overall quality of health? Are you being required to be tested? Is a positive test resulting in taking any medication? If so, why? What would happen if everyone just stopped getting tested? Asking because it seems like you’re attributing poor health, mortality to HIV prevalence vs other possible causes such as poor nutrition, inadequate sanitation, water contamination from human waste, chemicals; air pollution etc. Maybe you unaware that HIV never definitively linked to AIDS, which is a group of opportunistic infections that developed in a small group of people with same high-risk behaviors- multiple sexual partners over short periods (10/day) daily drug use with concomitant lack of regular sleep, eating for prolonged periods-days. Opportunistic infections similarly arise in populations that are literally starving.

  4. The common cold was never a planned-demic public health crisis never novel in nature with US Patent SARS 2 Anthony Fauci (2014).

    Agenda 21 Was always about culling thr population down to 50 million and not a conspiracy theory but treaty signed off in Brazil 1992 President George Herbert Walker Bush.

    Treaty with 179 independent nation states signed that got the ball rolling that resulted in Gain of Function research to have depopulation injection disquised as needed Vaccination for non existent scare tactic to set into action goals of WEF CCP Bill Gates, George Soros, Claus Schwab.

    Z28 130 under immunization designated code this 2/2023 shared with WHO for Americans that dont listen to pathological psychopath liars like Fauci, Walensky, Biden Administration, and never will comply with Counter Measures jcoordinated with Pentagon against civilians in USA, Canada, New Zealand, Australia,UK Ireland, Europe Nato Euro countries.

    They announced what is desired goal and actions of Sabotage
    catastrophic destruction of infrastructure of civilization energy independence, pipelines, wall and secured southern border, safe Trains for goods products for consumers now weapons to poison land, water, air. Aircraft chemtrails nefarious malevolent reasons to help collapse population end western civilization.
    The Money that Healthcare, MSM, Social Media, Government to censorship use Smith Muntz Act of 2012 Weaponized Propaganda PSYOPS Gaslighting to coercive covert manipulation to subvert brainwash program citizens to end life theirs and majority while those for mentioned Healthcare, MSM, Social Media got paid chump change to blatantly deceive about their collusion to lead us to extinction

  5. Multifactorial calculus is hard. The long-term effects of the vaccines, half-masking, and lockdowns will be debated for decades.

    The one thing that should have been obvious from the start, but never was considered, was human behavior and stubbornness. Ask any Medical Doctor about compliance. How many on this website know they should eat healthier and exercise regularly, but refuse to do it?

    Now, knowing human nature like we do, how idiotic it is to assume that all people would submit to being locked down, masked, 6 ft. distancing, and taking barely vetted vaccines?

    “I am afraid of this spooky-sounding disease, so I am going to force everyone to submit to my edicts whether they work or not.” That is not a rational thought. In fact, those demands are the height of selfish, egotistical, cowardly, and tyrannical irrationality.

  6. There are so many possibilities. I would add to what has already been said: Based on my experience, those who had the vaccine were much more likely to stay inside, and not exercise. The lack of exercise is a major risk factor for ill health and death, that is often overlooked.

    I am a conservative who has had 4 COVID vaccines. I am not wishing I had not taken the vaccines, but I am open to new data that will generally guide my participation should another pandemic arise.

    • Will you get more boosters as they become available?

      I stopped at 2 shots. My body’s reaction to the 2nd shot was more miserable than when I caught COVID 6 months later. Since the vaccine doesn’t prevent spreading the disease, what motivation is there to get boosters?

      • To mitigate the severity of any subsequent infection …. avoid hospitalization, for instance. By your own account, your Covid bout was mild. Congrats. The vaccine did it’s work.

        • Except it wasn’t mild for 50%. Dr Birx spoke of this and said we have to admit that 50% in the hospital with Covid, many severe.

        • No COVID vaccines here, couldn’t tell you if I actually got COVID, they stopped pushing the required testing. I’m fine.

  7. Please stop citing pre-print articles. These have not been peer-reviewed and until they are, they are scientifically meaningless. This could have been written by an AI and be full of errors, as far as we know, without peer review.
    There is one comment above that claims that vaccinations had zero testing (which is patently absurd), yet the poster is willing to accept the claims of a paper which has not been peer reviewed. Vaccination is a simple application of hormesis, a concept which has been around for hundreds of years. The credulous social media conspiracy theory crowd is behaving as if vaccination is something new and insidiously dangerous, and citing pre-print articles with unproven claims doesn’t help.

    • In case you have forgotten, the Covid vaccine is not a true vaccine. You can call it what you like but it is not a vaccine in the truest since ofvthe word and different from previous vaccines.

      • But actually by definition the mRNA vaccines ARE indeed vaccines. They stimulate the body’s production of antibodies against a specific pathogen. Plain and simple. How they do so is irrelevant. The net effect is the same as any other vaccines previously.

        • How they do so is irrelevant? Really? They could prevent the disease by killing someone. I think how it prevents the disease is relevant. If it prevents the disease but causes harm much worse than it’s not worth it. The world is rapidly acknowledging that the propaganda surrounding the vaccines effectiveness was wrong. Most educated people now agree they were not safe and they were not effective

    • Vaccination in the classical sense using inactive virus has been around for a long time. Having your human cells stimulated to fabricate viral proteins (that your own body then determines are pathogenic) to stimulate an immune response to then essentially attack itself ……..well THAT has not been around for very long….not long at all.

    • You make a good point about pre print studies.

      You make a lousy point about vaccines

      RNA vaccines have not been around for centuries.

      And most vaccines inoculate against contracting the disease. This vaccine did not.

      And we were told that this vaccine would stop transmission. It didn’t even slow it down.

      • Yes they did. Multiple studies have shown that the mRNA vaccines lessened transmission as well. One recent study reported a 40% reduction.

    • So, technically you have a point, but the problem is that no one wants to peer review that kind of info, since they are afraid of losing their professional credibility. Plus, any “respectable” scientific journal will refuse that also. They have orders from above. Just research the Cochrane and Tamiflu/Relenza feud, and all the headache Cochrane researchers and administrators had to go through to prove that Tamiflu is worthless (all the run around and difficulties they experienced in order for Roche and GlaxoSmithKline to funally release all the evidence). Covid pandemic and Covid vaccines are on a much grander scale, so it would be much harder to “prove” anything.

    • You’re right they were tested… in animals. And all the tests showed what we are now seeing in humans that took it. Disease that was in remission returned, along with clots and heart attacks.

    • As someone with multiple peer reviewed research publications, I don’t have the same respect for the process that you do. Of course you should question the source and quality of analysis but you should also do that for peer reviewed papers. And not dismiss research just because it hasn’t gone through a specific religious process.

  8. You need to account for other factors like the average age of the population. The percentage of the population in nursing homes. The population density. The prevalence of people eating out. How prevalent are multi-generation homes. And how high and concentrated are antivaxxers. Only having accounted for all these factors you can say that the vaccines were the reason for excess deaths.

    • Who is saying that the vaccines were the only reason, or even the main reason for the excess deaths?

      I think the point is that the vaccines plus the lockdowns didn’t PREVENT excess deaths. Wasn’t that the goal? To prevent more people from dying than would be normal?

  9. It’s also correlated to overburdened health services. The number of swashbuckling pirates declined with the increase of cattle, did the cattle eat the pirates? This is conspiracy nonsense. You can keep an open mind to things like this, but to claim there’s any evidence above and beyond it against things like reduced chemotherapy schedules and covid itself causing long term health effects is just plain disingenuous.

    • You denie that the lipid nanoparticles do not stay in the arm and are distributed in the whole body and are able to pass the blood brain barrier and the placenta barrier? You denie that that the spike protein production is not stopped after a few hours but can continue for weeks and months? You denie that the spike protein produced by heart cells can destroy heart cells leading to myocarditis and pericarditis? Alright….do as you wish. But scientific proof does not go away by wishful thinking.

  10. Any time there is an unexplained correlation, it is good to look for common causes. If you see that people with low incomes are exposed to more PM and are more overweight. The correlation is PM exposure and weight gain. The common cause is that a low income causes both because low incomes restrict housing options to worse ones near major roads with high PM, and low incomes restrict food choices to ones that cause weight gain.

    For this vaccine and death rate correlation, the common cause may be something like strong COVID policies cause higher vaccine rates. They also increase social isolation which causes more excess deaths.

    Maybe there is a causal relationship, maybe both of the correlated factors are caused by something else.

    • It’s ok. You can still believe. You can argue the fine points. People that didn’t take the vax are generally open minded enough to let you maintain your opinions.

      • People who don’t take vaccines are generally “open-minded” to things like a flat earth and faked moon landings, and tend to get aggressive when presented with evidence.

        • really? I took the vaccine and regret it completely.. was stupid and had zero testing done to verify its claims. the kind of person that just takes the governments word for it is the kind of person that just takes the churchs word that the sun revolves around the world or other nonsense. You just trusted authority and came up on the short side of the stick and refuse to direct your anger at those that lied to you instead of attacking people that admit they were lied to and regret it or those that were smart enough to avoid taking a shot that wasnt tested properly

        • Everyone in my family has every vaccination apart from Covid. Some vaccines are not like others.

          Covid for me was a slightly annoying cold. Tired on day one, felt fine on day three. Then again I can read papers and charts and saw that I had a sum total of zero comorbidities.

        • People who took this genetic therapy are more open minded to believe there are 260 genders, women with penises, men that give birth and that Greta Thunberg is an outstanding climate authority. I think I’ll stick with the flat earthers, thank you.

        • Actually people who have rejected this covid vaccine tend to be the ones who review the evidence with an open mind. Now I’m all for anyone who wants to take it to take it. I think it’s great that so many loony Lefty libs have taken and continue to take the numerous and never ending boosters. Please my loony Lefty lib friends, please be sure to continue taking your covid vaccine booster shots. This is the best way to get rid of these lunatics.

  11. Wow. 3-4 more excess deaths as compared to actual deaths from Covid 19. Physican heal thyself and stay the bejesus away from my arm.

    If the preprint methods prove to be reproducible, and why should it not, all it does is review deaths and purported causes and attempts to turn the purporting into reporting.

    Perhaps next “pandemic” we will have learned to stick with basics, such as knowing a priori that respiratory virus illnesses cannot be stopped with masks and that de novo viruses will simply in most cases just have to burn through the population several times until the natural increase in infectiousness and the natural decrease in morbidity happens.

  12. Countries that had higher vaccination resulted in less number of their elderly and sick populations dying during the pandemic. This in combination with long term detrimental effects of being infected with COVID, results in more deaths after COVID.

    Countries that had lower vaccinations during the pandemic had a higher rate of elderly and sick people dying. Resulting in less deaths in the short term, due to a reduce number of sick people.

    • Everyone who I knew of their vax status got covid, except for one friend. The “vax” doesn’t work.

    • I have to call BS to your comments. Millions of lives could’ve been saved by just taking ivermectin. This is the route India took, and they were the first country in the world to be declared Covid. Everyone I know who took the job caught Covid. Many of them have after affects directly related to the Covid shot.

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