Anthropic CEO talks about AI scaling laws which is a discussion about how good AI gets with more compute training.
Dario Amodei, CEO and Co-founder of Anthropic. Dario talks about the economics of AI development, the comparative advantage of AI companies like Anthropic, AI safety, and his stance on California’s SB 1047 bill. They also discuss the impacts of AI on global power dynamics, competition between the US and China, and inequality in an AI-powered world.
Dario believes there will only be a handful of large models and large model players.
He does not say it but we are looking at Microsoft/OpenAI, Meta, Google, XAI and Amazon. Anthropic could be there but it seems would be acquired by Amazon or Google. There could also be two China models.
He talks about speeding up biological research by 10X to 100X.
He talks about the main value of AI doing what humans do not and are unable to do.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
The economics and business model of LLM, AI, and whatever AI-flavoured-tech-as-applies are still not clear. Maybe smartness on demand? – a service to source your missing engineering assistant/ business manager/ proof-reading-admin/ junior professional/ business-development promotion clerk for various assignments, long-term fill-ins, and small-company ‘trial period’ gigs does appeal. A small company of an experienced and sophisticated owner/professional distributing work assignments to their 50% AI/ 50% human staff with significant senior oversight could create very productive business entities. But, as with business/ corporate consultancies, a phase in period to transition the company with help will be required. Simply shipping a box or downloading the latest AI, LLM, or smart-assistant from the xAI/ OpenAI stronghold wil not ensure good take-up and understanding by the ‘real public’ companies hoping to realize their labor shortages and growth dreams by predictable and integratable AI ‘staff’. IN the same way cloud storage and computing was ‘too removed’ from the business, AI and LLM must have a local presence at the firm – also desireable by AI/ LLM companies? unclear.
High intelligence and good advice are routinely ignored. AI will be no different. Intel is a good example. Intel engineers told management they needed ASML extreme UV equipment. Management told them to fudge it with interference optics like they always do. Now Intel is going bankrupt. Any man on the loading dock at Budweiser could have told management not to air a woke transvestite marketing campaign, and I am certain that someone did tell management. Budweiser went ahead and queered the Bud Light band. Numerous intelligent inspectors have complained to Boeing about management practices. The Boeing fish rots from the head. No amount of intelligent advice can help.