All 1500+ new Tesla cars drive from the Fremony factory to the loading docks every day. This is about 2000 miles per day of driving without a human driver. They could also drive from truck offloads to shipping lots in Austin, Shanghai, Berlin. It will move up from 2000 miles per day to 6000-20000 miles per day. This is not yet on public roads but avoiding forklifts and workers at all times of days and conditions. It is on a private area with traffic signs and crosswalks and random work activity and other vehicles.
An unscientific poll is finding about 30% use actual smart summon. 20-30% is multiple times per day or every day. 100-150k every day. This would be about 1000 miles per week for 100K tesla FSD owners or subscribers.
Combining the factory drives and the no human driver actual smart summon is 1+ million miles per year and increasing.
There are reports and videos of drives of 300+ miles without FSD drivers touching the steering wheel or pedals. A 5.5 hour drive from Los Angeles to Silicon Valley. Drives from oakland airport to downtown san francisco. Drives in Los Angeles.
Tesla FSD Actual Smart Summon (driverless summon and dispatch to parking up to 85 meters line of sight.)
Unscientific poll is finding about 30% use actual smart summon. 20-30% is multiple times per day or every day. 100-150k every day. 1K per week for 100K. About 1 million miles per year and increasing to 3 million miles for unsupervised supply chain drives and 500k/year no driver summon and dispatch drives. Supervised robotaxi for employees also in the 500k per year level. Versus 10 million miles of paid rides for Waymo.
There need to be more destination options to tell it you want to park or drop off in front and Grok 3 needs to be added for voice instructions from the user.
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I read that there are regulatory hurdles regarding exchanging drive data between China and eg. the US. No one is allowed to move the China recorded data outside the country, which means they can’t use this resource. They will have to have Chinese specific datacenters to handle things locally. Maybe it’s the same with data in the other direction?
This will be more expensive for a lesser output.
A glance at the part of each video that shows before I click run indicates sunny weather with dry pavement.
I haven’t done a search for videos that show self driving in heavy rain or a snowstorm. Does anyone know if there are videos showing self-drive cars handling such conditions?
FSD won’t be real until insurance companies, possibly Tesla’s own too, provide liability insurance with comparable coverage to regular cars, at competitive prices, sustainably. Until that happens, which may take a year or two to prove it’s sustainable when the inevitable accidents occur, FSD is just theoretical. The insurance will probably have to be no-fault since truly FSD Teslas won’t involve drivers, by definition. Everyone will be a passenger.
“Tesla Over One Million Miles Per Year Runrate for Unsupervised Driving” This title is a bit misleading. It is just driving from Factory to loading dock (1.2 mile) of simple road per car.
Anyway still good they automatize it, can reduce costs even more.