Elon Musk posted that Tesla autonomous driving might spread faster than any technology ever.
In interpret that this would mean:
* going to no supervised driving monitor in December of 2025 in Austin then they will spread in months to all cars.
* Q2 2026 they will have about ten cities without safety drivers or safety monitors
* Q3 2026 it should go wide to all Tesla cars in the USA.
The hardware foundations have been laid for such a long time that a software update enables self-driving for millions of pre-existing cars in a short period of time.
Tesla autonomous driving might spread faster than any technology ever.
The hardware foundations have been laid for such a long time that a software update enables self-driving for millions of pre-existing cars in a short period of time. https://t.co/uE39BOky5V
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 29, 2025
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
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To see some examples of misbehavior and how unready it is (from one Tesla fan driving around for a week): https://youtu.be/dz9emo7k1eM
It is clear the latest V14.x versions of FSD is not showing any significant improvement over year old versions in terms of miles to disengagement, and with only a few 100miles between critical disengagements still 3 orders of magnitude short of what is needed for safe unsupervised operation at accident rates similar to humans.
There is no chance that we will see widescale unsupervised role out any time soon, the resulting accidents and lawsuits would ruin Tesla. It’s at least years and 1-2 computer upgrades away
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