Tesla Robotaxi Will Be As Big or Bigger Than Waymo at the End of 2025

Elon said 1000 cars in the Bay area by the end of the year and 500 cars in austin by the end of the year. Tesla will likely have 100-200 cars in 8 other cities. They will likely be as big or bigger than Waymo which has about 1500 cars.

4 thoughts on “Tesla Robotaxi Will Be As Big or Bigger Than Waymo at the End of 2025”

  1. My juniper is now running V14.1.4. Its a big improvement, particularly in parking lots, and nonpaved driveways.
    It saw someone nearly running a redlight yesterday. It nearly stopped rather than enter the intersection, and would have avoided an accident if the other car had run the light. I could not have done better.

    Well done, I say. Very well done Elon et al. Well worth the cost of the launch edition.

  2. Don’t look now but latest version of FSD 14.1.4 looks to have finally shown some improvement over year old 12.xx and 13.xx versions, with distance to critical disengagements up to about 2000 miles in opensource tracking. That’s about an order of magnitude improvement, and means FSD is down from needing to fix 999 our of every 1000 critical disengagements to just 99 out of every 100 in order to reach human levels of safety.
    https://app.powerbi.com/view?amp;pageName=ReportSectiona513b9781c5673d6f4fb&r=eyJrIjoiZTlkMWY1NTMtYTM1Mi00YmZmLWE4ZjQtZmE0M2EyMjgzMDNjIiwidCI6ImMxM2M0MmQ1LTlhNTAtNDY3YS05Yjc3LWI1MjkyYzgxZjM1NSIsImMiOjF9&pageName=ReportSectione34408b53060e1deb61f

    But sadly effort required for each extra ‘9’ in technology improvement processes tends to be about the same. It will still take years and one or two hardware upgrades (already in scheduled AI5 and then AI6 chipsets)

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