The Rise and Stall of China

Long time readers of Nextbigfuture know that I have been optimistic about China’s economy for well over two decades. Those were correct and accurate tracking and forecasts. There would be complaints that tracking the situation every few months was boosterism for China. Well the change has happened. China’s economy has basically stalled out. China’s economy …

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Road to Teslabot and Last Mile Delivery Robots

The last mile of a package delivery is the most difficult due to dynamic, uncertain environments both inside and outside of the vehicle. A delivery truck can start completely organized and packed with boxes. As packages are individually delivered, however, the neat stacks can slide or fall over as the vehicle moves. Outside of the …

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Multi-Fingered Active Grasp Learning

This is a review of a 2020 academic paper about using learning systems to train robotics arms and hands to grasp objects. Learning-based approaches to grasp planning are preferred over analytical methods due to their ability to better generalize to new, partially observed objects. However, data collection remains one of the biggest bottlenecks for grasp …

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DARPA Robots Learn to Grasp Objects and Carry Loads Over Rough Terrain

Researchers with DARPA’s Machine Common Sense (MCS) program demonstrated a series of improvements to robotic system performance over multiple experiments. Just as infants must learn from experience, MCS seeks to construct computational models that mimic the core domains of child cognition for objects (intuitive physics), agents (intentional actors), and places (spatial navigation). Using only simulated …

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Elon’s Real World AI is the Real World Technological Singularity

Ray Kurzweil predicted Technological Singularity nearly 20 years ago. Elon Musk could enable a world of economic abundance with real-world AI. Robotaxi and Teslabot will transform the world more than car and the first industrial revolution. The Technological Singularity is a predicted point when technological growth becomes radically faster. Real World AI would be general …

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Technology Singularity Today

BIG Technology is emerging now and ramping this decade. Early innovators and adopters will win. Those who invest in the winners will also win. Late adopters will lose badly. Just as those who were earliest on the internet and electric cars were winners. Early adopting countries won past technological shifts. The ranking of countries is …

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Teslabot Insights

There were two Teslabot videos. The first has a discussion with James Douma. James describes his perspective of the advances in neural nets. He described how GPT-3 created a foundational capability by cracking language. He believes the Teslabot will leverage neural nets to crack robotic methods for bipedal movement and mastering identifying and picking up …

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Overlapping Future Worlds Set in 2050-2100

The fictional Jetsons are in a world set in the 2060’s. The main character was born in our time of 2022. Any fiction set in the 2060’s with characters who are in their forties are starting to overlap our current time. Any fictional character in a world set in 2100, would be born this year …

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