xAI Grok 3 will out in about two weeks. It is good at writing code and modelling the physics of the real world. It made code in python for ball bouncing inside a square and inside a tesseract. The big financial impact will be if it can seamlessly handle conversations and verbal instructions and questions. …
Brian Wang has had over 90% accuracy with public predictions on public websites like Metaculus and Manifold. OpenAI O3 model has shown that greater than human PHD reasoning is possible but with about 30,000 GPUs taking 30 minutes to infer the answer. I forecast an increase to 1 million GPU AI training from 100,000 at …