Six Big AI Projects in the Race Beyond 2 Trillion Parameters

There are six major AI projects in the race beyond 2 trillion parameter models. There is OpenAI, Anthropic, Google/Deepmind, Meta, a UK government project and a stealth project. It takes $1-2 billion per year of resources to be in the game. There is $1 billion needed for hardware and that hardware will need to be …

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Detecting, Preventing and Fixing Hallucinated ChatGPT Results

There is work to mitigate, detect and prevent the hallucinated bad results from Generative AI like ChatGPT. One current general research challenge in NLP is to establish a means of identifying hallucinated texts without the need to entirely redesign new NLP (AI) models that incorporate, define and authenticate facts as discrete entities. Authenticating all facts …

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AGI Expert Ben Geortzel Gives His Updated View on the Path to SuperIntelligence

Ben Goertzel is a cognitive scientist, artificial intelligence researcher, CEO and founder of SingularityNET, leader of the OpenCog Foundation, and the AGI Society, and chair of Humanity+. He helped popularize the term ‘artificial general intelligence’. Goertzel was the Chief Scientist of Hanson Robotics, the company that created Sophia the Robot. He was a Director of …

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AI is Accelerating from Pretty Impressive AI to Some Mix and Range of Human and Superhuman Capabilities

I was wrong to believe in 2020 that it would be very hard for a small group to create a system for increasing programmer productivity and iterating on the improvement of productivity-boosting software and hardware. Generative AI and Copilot are boosting programmer productivity. Improving programmers with AI and improving AI with AI is the heart …

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Artificial General Intelligence is Happening, Just a Question of How Much

Stephen McAleese, at Less Wrong, used scaling rules and formulas to try to predict the performance of GPT-4. He underpredicted the capabilities of GPT-4. However, he was not widely wrong. GPT-4 came out earlier than he expected and had better performance than expected. Multi-task Language Understanding on MMLU was better than expected. GPT-4 can work …

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Microsoft 365 CoPilot AI to Increase Work Productivity

Microsoft Satya Nadella and Jared Spataro focused on how AI will power a whole new way of working for everyone. Word, Excel, Powerpoint and other microsoft software will create first drafts of documents which can be based upon the users previous style. CoPilot can convert Word documents into Powerpoint and Powerpoint into Word. CoPilot can …

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Bing AI and GPT4 Has an IQ of 114 and is Smarter Than the Average Human

GPT4 and Google’s unreleased Palm system are getting IQ scores above the average human in IQ tests and tests that correlate to IQ. GMAT scores and other tests have been mapped to IQ and the high IQ societies accept a range of tests that GPT4 has taken. Brian WangBrian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader …

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What is Left Before AGI ?

The three main ingredients leading to predictable improvements in AI performance are training data, computation, and improved algorithms. In the mid-2010s, some AI researchers noticed that larger AI systems were consistently smarter, and so they theorized that the most important ingredient in AI performance might be the total budget for AI training computation. When this …

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Human Level Artificial General Intelligence for All Tasks by 2026

Dr Alan D. Thompson is a world expert in artificial intelligence (AI), specializing in the augmentation of human intelligence, and advancing the evolution of ‘integrated AI’. He defines AGI as being able to have artificial intelligence at human level or above for all tasks. AI is already helping to create the chips used for AI. …

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What to Expect for OpenAI GPT-4 and GPT-5

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman was interviewed about GPT4 and other AI topics at a conference one year ago. GPT-4 is coming, but currently the focus is on coding and that’s also where the available compute is going. GPT-4 will be a text model (as opposed to multi-modal). It will not be much bigger than GPT-3, …

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