Evaluating Large Language Models

ChatGPT, GPT-4 are Large Language Models (LLM). There are four major aspects of LLMs pre-training, adaptation tuning, utilization, and capacity evaluation. Here is one of the new summaries of the available resources for developing LLMs and issues for future directions. Chain-of-Thought (CoT) is an improved prompting strategy to boost the performance of LLMs on complex …

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AGI for Autocomplete Everything

Jason Calcanis talks about the new thing this week, AutoGPT, in the AI transformation. Autocomplete coding makes programmers 5-10X productivity. A programmer replicated the Floppy Bird game in one hour. Describing the anxiety and pain points for artists and other jobs that are immediately at risk. Prompt Engineering – Making the Right Wishes of the …

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ChatGPT AI Projected to Impact Over 300 Million Jobs and World GDP

Goldman Sachs has an analysis that ChatGPT and other generative AI could spark a productivity boom that could automate 25% of jobs in North America and Europe and raise annual global GDP by 7% over a 10-year period. The new AI could lift productivity growth by 1.5 percentage points over a 10-year period. This is …

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ChatGPT Causes White Collar Job Loss and Robots Cause Blue Collar Job Loss

An online survey of 1000 business leaders suggest that ChatGPT and AI systems will often be involved in the future interview process after companies use the AI to remove workers from some jobs in codewriting, customer support, research and content creation. The level of employment impact is still small as companies also got rid of …

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Majority of China’s Corruption is a Commission System for Business Development

Polymatter describes how China has been allowing corruption is a form of cash and perks that are a commission system for business development. High-level leaders (elites in government) are promoted and rewarded for attracting growing businesses. The lower level bureaucracy is given very lower wages aka base pay. The elites make a deal that they …

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Economics and Technology Impact Future World Population

Earth4All, which claims to be a scientific group, has new global population projections. Their scenarios are there is global success in eliminating extreme poverty and global poverty. This would reduce family sizes in Africa and parts of Asia and result in the global population peaking around 2050 at about 8.5 billion people. Earth4All clearly has …

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The Rise and Stall of China

Long time readers of Nextbigfuture know that I have been optimistic about China’s economy for well over two decades. Those were correct and accurate tracking and forecasts. There would be complaints that tracking the situation every few months was boosterism for China. Well the change has happened. China’s economy has basically stalled out. China’s economy …

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China Extreme Economic Stimulation of Manufacturing Including the Electric Car Industry Starting 2H2022 $TSLA $CATL $NIO

China’s battery maker and electric car companies were up from 1.5%-11% on hopes of “extraordinary policies to address the lack in downstream manufacturing companies”. CATL largest battery supplier in the world and major Tesla supplier is up about 2% on China’s stock exchange. NIO and Xpeng are high-end electric car makers and are up about …

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Gasbuddy Reports Average US Gas Prices Passed $5 Per Gallon

The national average price of gas in the U.S. surpassed $5 per gallon today for the first time ever, according to GasBuddy, the leading fuel savings platform saving North American drivers the most money on fuel. There has been months of gas price increases across the country, accelerated by the rise in seasonal demand amidst …

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Canada a 22nd Century Superpower By Being a Great Place to Live

Canada has an 88-page immigration focused plan that would increase Canada’s population to the level of the USA in about 150 years. By 2171, Canada would use good schools, good universities and comfortable quality of life, solid economy to continue attracting high quality immigration to reach a population of about 300 million. This would be …

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China Becoming Economically Stronger Than the USA But Not the US and Allies

Nextbigfuture found cost of living data indicating that China’s purchasing power parity economy is about $31 trillion. This is 30% larger than official estimates and is 50% larger than the $21 trillion US economy. In a decade or two China’s currency will strengthen to a value that matches its purchasing power level. Japan reached per …

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