COVID Helps China’s Economy Pass EU in 2021 and 2025-2030 for the USA

The double whammy for the European Union GDP is Brexit and COVID. In 2019, the EU had a combined GDP of $18.3 trillion. The UK leaving removes $2.5 trillion. COVID removed another 10-12% in 2020. The Jan, 2021 GDP will be after Brexit is official and enacted on Dec 31, 2020. $15.8 trillion after the …

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US 2020 GDP Could be -2% With Possible Pandemic Economic Recovery By End of 2021

The Philadelphia Federal Reserve published results of a survey of 35 economic forecasters on August 14, 2020. They predicted the US economy would expand at an annual rate of 19.1 percent in the third quarter. This was almost double the prediction of 10.6 percent from the last survey. The forecasters expected real GDP to decrease …

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Bahrain Joins UAE in Normalizing Relations With Israel

Bahrain has joined the United Arab Emirates in normalizing relations with Israel, President Donald Trump tweeted on Friday. Joint Statement of the United States, the Kingdom of Bahrain, and the State of Israel pic.twitter.com/xMquRkGtpM — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 11, 2020 Bahrain has a population of 1.6 million and a GDP of $39 billion. …

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US Economy Shrank 9.5% in Second Quarter, -32.9% on Annual Basis

US real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 5.0 percent. The US economy shrank 9.5% in the second quarter. The decrease in real GDP …

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-20% World GDP in Second Quarter Forces 500 Million Back into Extreme Poverty

The number of people living in poverty in the world could increase, in comparison to the status quo in 2018, by between 85–135 million under a 5 percent contraction, by between 180–280 million under a 10 percent contraction, and, startlingly, between 420–580 million people under a per capita income or consumption contraction of 20 percent. …

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Lockdown is Killing Small Business Which Are Half of US Jobs and Economy

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) is the largest small business association. Small Employers are in crisis and half will have to shut down in less than 2 months without help. Small businesses are half of America’s economy and account for nearly half of America’s jobs. Brad Close, president of the National Federation of …

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IMF New Baseline is -3% GDP in 2020 But World Could Go to -6% or Worse

The IMF has a baseline scenario of -3% world GDP. There is extreme uncertainty around the duration and intensity of the health crisis. They also explore alternative, more adverse scenarios. The pandemic may not recede in the second half of this year, leading to longer durations of containment, worsening financial conditions, and further breakdowns of …

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Second Quarter Up to -40% GDP Growth From the Great Lockdown

The World is projected to have over $9 trillion in economic losses from the Great Lockdown. This assumes a relatively prompt and successful reopening of the world economy. The Second quarter could see the US and other major economies with up to -40% GDP growth. China’s GDP was negative in the first quarter this year. …

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Are Challenger Banks and Payment Firms the Gateway to Cryptocurrency Adoption?

Retail banking is undergoing something of a revolution. Taking advantage of the fact that traditional banks haven’t changed much over the years, so-called challenger banks and payment firms are starting to capture market share from the younger generation. Although most big banks offer online portals, these are often based on legacy technologies that make them …

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