Recessions usually occur 10-22 months after interest rate curve inverts

The U.S. economy is growing at a fast clip, and the bull market is entering its ninth year. Some economists are starting worry over rising interest rates and a negative signal from the bond market called a flattening yield curve. The yield curve—with one exception in 1966—has basically predicted every recession according to Natixis Chief …

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Researchers projected post-2008 crisis growth onto the world through 2100 and then talked about 7% economic cost of climate damage

A research paper claims that if the world stays at 2 degrees celsius of warming versus going up to 4 degrees celsius of warming then the world economy will be US$17.5 trillion per year stronger in 2100. At 4 degrees Celsius of global warming, the losses in income to the global economy are claimed to …

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Ten Fewer Least Developed Countries by 2024

In 2014, the population of LDCs (Least Developed Countries) was 898 million—1/8 of the world’s total. The population in LDCs is expected to more than double between 2010 and 2050. In the same time period, the total world population is expected to grow less than 40%. However, the number of least developed countries will drop …

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Belt and Road investments versus Developed world investments

The American Enterprise Institute (AEI) has a report that China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has spent $340 billion from 2014-2017. Private companies in China tend to invest in the USA, UK, Switzerland and Australia. They are acquiring hotels, entertainment firms and real estate. There is also some M and A activity for buying profitable …

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