Re-examining the China Economic Miracle

How did China’s economy really get to there it is now? * China like Britain, US, Germany and Japan have successfully used selective protectionism to develop their companies and economy. Ethiopia and other African countries are getting some success copying China’s development model * Despite claims of impending financial crisis. China’s rise over 40 years …

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Atlanta Federal Reserve GDP model predicts USA 5.4% GDP growth in first quarter 2018 – highest since 2003

The Atlanta Federal Reserve GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2018 is 5.4 percent on February 1, up from 4.2 percent on January 29. The forecast of real consumer spending growth increased from 3.1 percent to 4.0 percent after this morning’s Manufacturing ISM Report On …

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Bloomberg calculates that China GDP growth rate was overstated by 2% in 2015

China’s GDP growth rate in 2015 was probably overstated by “a couple of percentage points,” according to new data analysis by Bloomberg Economics. Some of the alternative growth metrics indicate higher GDP growth than what China has reported for some years. Many indicators suggest a wider variation in growth. Brian WangBrian Wang is a Futurist …

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China will again triple dredging and will have over 50 fortified islands by 2030 in South China Sea

China has purchased 200 dredging ships over the last 11 years. Most of the technology was from Germany, Japan and other countries. China tripled its dredging capacity over the last 15 years. China can now build its own large and modern dredging ships. China has stated that a US ship passing within a dozen miles …

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IMF expects US tax cut to boost world economy by about $200 billion dollars per year for 4 years

The IMF expects U.S. tax policy changes to stimulate world economic activity for several years. The short-term impact in the United States mostly driven by the investment response to the corporate income tax cuts. The effect on U.S. growth is estimated to be positive through 2020, cumulating to 1.2 percent through that year, with a …

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Income distributions show how far India has to go to create even a global middle class

The Economist reports that India does not have a middle class and growing inequality it preventing the growth of a middle class. The top 1% of Indian adults, a rich enclave of 8 million inhabitants making at least $20,000 a year, equates to roughly Hong Kong in terms of population and average income. The next …

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Softbank Vision is to invest a trillion dollars in at least a thousand Unicorns over the next ten years

Softbanks’s CEO Masayoshi Son is creating a mechanism to increase their funding ability from 10 trillion yen to 20 trillion yen to 100 trillion yen. The funds will probably have invested in at least 1,000 [unicorn] companies within 10 years. According to Nikkei, all the Vision Funds are expected to chiefly target unicorns — aka …

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The Future of Asia is ultimately about AI, other advanced tech and economics

Hugh White makes the case that America’s influence is decreasing in Asia and China is on the eventual but inevitable path to dominating Asia. Others make the case that the USA still has strategic options. Nextbigfuture believes the ultimate Future of Asia and the world is about AI, other advanced technology and economics. The US …

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