USA Versus China in 2025 and 2026

As of mid-2025, the US economy remains the world’s largest by nominal GDP, valued at approximately $30.5 trillion, compared to China’s $19.2 trillion—making the US economy about 1.59 times larger. China’s economy leads in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms. China continues to have more GDP growth than the USA. China has stimulus measures, export strength, …

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Alberta Could Hold Independence Referendum Late in 2025 – Become an Energy Superpower

The Alberta Premier has made it easier for citizens to collect enough signatures to put the question of Alberta Independence to a vote. Polling has indicated about 30% support for Alberta independence but polling may not be accurate. Collecting the signatures to have a vote should be relatively easy. The hard part will be actually …

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Ark Invest Forecasts GDP Growth Could Increase to 7-10% Per Year with an AI and Technology Boom

During the current business cycle, Ark Invest believe real gross domestic product (GDP) growth could accelerate to 7% per year on average, surpassing that of any year since 1950. Seemingly outlandish, this estimate is consistent with the dramatic boost to real GDP growth during bursts of technologically enabled innovation in the past 2000+ years. During …

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A Debt Spiral and US Financial Collapse in the 2030s

If DOGE fails to cut US deficit then what is potential timeline for a U.S. economic collapse similar to the Soviet Union’s (USSR), given a current national debt of $37 trillion increasing by $1 trillion every 100 days. Would this lead to hyperinflation, an upward spiral in interest rates and inflation? The U.S. might lose …

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Grok 3 and Me Solving US Government Spending, Doubling Longterm Growth and Avoiding Recession

I worked with Grok 3 to analyze all of the spending deep federal government spending cuts, possible end to the Ukraine war, privatization of parts of government, streamlining agencies and functions. I looked at using improved tax and other policies to achieve strong economic growth (doubling GDP growth from 2% per year to 4-5% per …

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Germany Has Passed Japan for Third Largest World Economy

Official data has reports Japan economy in 2023 was $4.2 trillion in 2023, while Germany’s was $4.5 trillion. The U.S., the world’s largest economy, is expected to grow 5.8% to $26.94 trillion. China’s economy, the world’s second-largest, is forecast to shrink 1.0% to $17.7 trillion. Germany tripled from the 1990s to today. The Japan and …

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Germany Passing Japan Aging Population as Third Largest World Economy

According to the IMF World Economic Outlook report, Japan’s nominal GDP — that is, unadjusted for inflation — is expected to fall 0.2%, year-on-year, to $4.23 trillion in 2023, while Germany’s is forecast to expand 8.4% to $4.42 trillion. The U.S., the world’s largest economy, is expected to grow 5.8% to $26.94 trillion. China’s economy, …

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Japan’s Economy Is Heading for Rapid Decline and No Retirement

NHK, one of Japan’s main media companies, had a segment where Japan is worried about dropping from its ranking as the third place economy (nominal GDP). Japan sees its economy falling behind Germany. Germany has a population of 84 million people while Japan has 122 million. Japan’s per capita income has also cratered a rapidly …

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Low Population in 2050 for $50 Trillion Economic Loss – Over Ten Times More Than Climate Change

We do NOT know if the climate models are correct. There are predictions that worsening storms and drought will have economic losses that are 20-50 times worse than today by 2050. The older predictions of flooding or winters without snow have not happened. However, we know for certain that lowering birth rates will result in …

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