Stupid Geopolitical Analysis

There are “geopolitical experts” who base their analysis using broad sweeping abstractions. Geopolitics is the study of the effects of Earth’s geography (human and physical) on politics and international relations. It is a pseudoscience of political geography” and other pseudoscientific theories of historical and geographic determinism. Some major works and examples in this area are …

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A Race to Close a Gamechanging Deal With Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Israel

Israeli Prime minister Netanyahu had a meeting with Saudi meeting with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. There are also reports that Saudi Arabia is pressuring Pakistan to normalize relations with Israel. The Brookings Institute believes there are three possibilities for the Israel-Saudi meeting. 1. Actually achieving some normalization …

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Sudan Has Agreed to Normalize With Israel According to Reports

Sudan has reportedly agreed to fully normalize relations with Israel, an initial report by Israel Hayom stated late Wednesday night. A formal and public announcement on the normalization of relations is expected to take place in the next few days. The normalization agreement will likely be done before the November 3rd US election. The US …

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Transcending Geography and the Future of World Power

The world we know today has largely been shaped by geography, populations and agriculture. Peter Zeihan has some useful analysis of how geography has shaped geopolitics. He correctly notes the large advantages the US has had with the best farmland and the best connected river system. Rivers can transport goods at 15 times greater energy …

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The Possible Meaning and Impacts of Huawei Global CFO Arrest in Canada

Huawei’s global chief financial officer, Meng Wanzhou, has been arrested in Vancouver and is being sought for extradition by the US government. The reason was because Huawei violated US sanctions against Iran. Hong Kong fell about 2.5% and Tokyo stocks closed down 1.9%. Shanghai’s market fell 1.7%, while US stock futures were pointing down more …

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Examining Challenges and Chances for a Successful Coup in Venezuela

Nextbigfuture wrote several articles in early 2018, where we looked at the rapid economic and social collapse in Venezuela and believed it would lead to a military coup. Nextbigfuture predicted the coup would happen by the end of 2018. There are now about 26 days for that to happen. Clearly, this is highly unlikely. Venezuela’s …

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Decades of geopolitics shows failure by not acting early and decisively

Writing in the Australian, ­Liberal senator and former senior army officer Jim Molan said the South China Sea battle already lost. * nothing short of all-out war capable of dislodging Chinese forces from a string of heavily fortified ­islands * one week after Beijing landed a long-range strat­egic bomber on Woody Island in the South …

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