Ark Estimates $11–12 Trillion Robotaxi Market in 2030

ARK estimates that autonomous driving could reduce the cost of ride-hail significantly, expanding the addressable market. Today, the average price of an Uber is $2 per mile, while Didi is $0.50-$.70 per mile. We estimate that autonomous ride-hail vehicles will have higher utilization rates than human-driven cars, as well as lower labor and insurance costs. …

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Ark Invest Believes a Tesla Robotaxi Future is the Most Likely Scenario

ARK’s 2025 price target for Tesla is $3,000. ARK’s 25% bear case is for Tesla at $1,500 in 2025. The 25% bull case is Tesla could be worth roughly $4,000 per share. They published their model on Github and invite you to test your own assumptions and/or craft visualizations from the simulation outputs for our …

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