How Might Wagner Win?

Prigozhin, leader of Wagner, appears to have moved fast and taken Rostov – southern military command. He knows where the Russian military leadership is. UPDATE: The coup or whatever this event was ended one day after it started. Prigozhin struck some kind of deal with the leader of Belarus as the broker. It is all …

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Coordinated Ukrainian Offensives

Ukrainian forces are “shifting to offensive actions” in some areas, the country’s Deputy Defence Minister Hanna Malyar has said. On Monday evening she said Ukraine’s troops had made gains of up to one mile (1.6km) in several directions around Bakhmut. Ukrainian military sources told the BBC that a series of small scale armoured offensive operations …

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Ukrainian Military Has Beachhead on the Other Side of the Dnipro River

In the Kherson region, Ukrainians have increased their bridgehead on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River to the point where many Russian sources started raising the alarm. Ukrainians established control over the proximate island with a lot of places for docking. Ukrainians are present in the residential area of one of the biggest and …

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Business Avoided and Fixed Neon Shortage From Russia-Ukraine War

Many forecasters, like Peter Zeihan, were predicting economic disaster, disruption and shortages from the Russia-Ukraine war. The over $1 trillion semiconductor chip industry would be wrecked from a shortage of neon gas. 70% of the gas is made by Ukraine and Russia. The prices did shoot up but now have come back down and semiconductor …

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Russian Tank Count from Imaging Analysis

More accurate counts of tanks in Russian storage tell us when Russia’s ability to replace destroyed tanks will drop. This will be a further drop in Russia’s military capability. The other key take away is that traditional military assessment sources like the International Institute for Strategic Studies (British research institute) are likely less accurate than …

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