Washington University IHME COVID Projections Are Embarrassing

IHME (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) has a statistical model to forecast COVID deaths and hospitalizations. The Annals of Internal Medicine had a review from 2020. The IHME projections are based not on transmission dynamics but on a statistical model with no epidemiologic basis. Specifically, the model used reported worldwide COVID-19 deaths and extrapolated …

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Biden Administration Waives Sanctions on Iran’s Civilian Nuclear Program

The US State Department is waiving sanctions on Iran’s civilian nuclear program. The waiver allows other countries and companies to participate in Iran’s civilian nuclear program without triggering US sanctions. The State Department claims that this waiver is needed so that other countries can check the status of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpiles and proliferation activities …

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Obesity Triples Severe COVID Risk and Prior COVID Infected Are 3 Times Safer Than Vaccinated

Covid-19 death rates are 10 times higher in countries where more than half of the adult population is classified as overweight according to a comprehensive report from the World Obesity Federation has found. Many people want to point to some moral failing to not comply with mask usage or insufficient vaccination as the reason for …

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US Tracking to 1 Million Total COVID Deaths in March as CDC Reports Almost 4000 COVID Deaths Feb 1st

The CDC recorded 3916 COVID deaths for February 1st, 2022 and the official cumulative US count of COVID deaths is 888,000. The number of daily cases counted peaked about two weeks ago but the COVID daily deaths will likely not decline for 8 weeks. The lack of decline in daily COVID deaths is because you …

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Projection that 50% of Americans Will Get Omicron Covid in Next 100 Days

The Institute for Health Metrics (IHME) is projecting that Omicron Covid cases in the USA will peak at around 2.8 million cases per day and that there are currently about 1.5 million cases per day in the USA. They are projecting it will be over 1.5 million cases per day for the next 60 days …

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Canada’s Population Will Be Over 39 Million in 2022

Canada’s population was estimated at 38,436,447 on October 1, 2021, an increase of 190,339 persons (+0.5%) from July 1, 2021. Canada’s realtime population estimate for Dec 25, 2021 is 38.56 million. Canada’s population increases about 2000 people per day. Ontario is passing 15 million people. Quebec is at 8.65 million. BC is at 5.3 million. …

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CDC Predicts 11% to 95% Increase in US COVID Deaths in Next 3 Weeks

The CDC (US Center for Disease Control) predicts that the number of newly reported COVID-19 deaths will likely increase over the next 4 weeks, with 8,900 to 15,600 new deaths likely reported in the week ending January 8, 2022. The CDC recorded 8000 covid deaths in the prior 7 days. The national ensemble predicts that …

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US Increasing Per Capita GDP Lead Versus Most of the World

The USA is increasing its lead in per capita income (Purchasing power parity and nominal income) versus major European countries, Japan and Latin American and central american countries. Only faster growing asian countries are catching up in per capita income compared to the USA. The rate of catchup for Asian countries has slowed. The pandemic …

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