US 2020 GDP Could be -2% With Possible Pandemic Economic Recovery By End of 2021

The Philadelphia Federal Reserve published results of a survey of 35 economic forecasters on August 14, 2020. They predicted the US economy would expand at an annual rate of 19.1 percent in the third quarter. This was almost double the prediction of 10.6 percent from the last survey. The forecasters expected real GDP to decrease …

Read more

COVID-19 First Generation Vaccines Should Halve the Risk of Infection

Dr. Amesh Adalja, a senior scholar with the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, reports that the first generation of COVID-19 vaccines will give people who have vaccinated a 50% lower chance of getting infected than somebody who hasn’t been vaccinated. US Operation Warp Speed is giving billions to private pharma companies to try to …

Read more

Lilly Starts Phase 3 Trial for Antibody Treatment of COVID-19

Eli Lilly a Phase 3 trial studying LY-CoV555 for the prevention of SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 in residents and staff at long-term care facilities in the U.S. (skilled nursing facilities, commonly referred to as nursing homes, and assisted living facilities). LY-CoV555, the lead antibody from Lilly’s collaboration with AbCellera, is a neutralizing antibody against SARS-CoV-2, …

Read more

Still Only One Coronavirus Strain and Progress to Treatments and Vaccines

The coronavirus is currently changing slowly. There are only about two dozen mutations. There have been many reports of multiple strains of SARS-CoV-2. Virologists use the world strain as a label to the same group of samples. This does not mean they are functionally different. Strain can also refer to viral genotypes that are functionally …

Read more

COVID Vaccine Likely to Be Once a Year – 133+ Candidate Vaccines

Dr. Scott Gottlieb, member of the boards of Pfizer and biotech company Illumina and former FDA commissioner expects that any coronavirus vaccine that proves to be safe and effective will still probably only provide immunity for a limited amount of time, maybe “up to a year,” former Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Dr. Scott Gottlieb …

Read more

A Careful Plan for Re-opening the US Economy

X-FDA Commissioner Scott Gottlieb and four other experts have published a roadmap to re-opening the US economy from Coronavisus shutdowns. Here Nextbigfuture reviews the details of the next phase. Trigger for Moving to Phase II A state can safely proceed to Phase II when it has achieved all the following: A sustained reduction in cases …

Read more

Many Coronavirus Clinical Trials in China

There is reports of 77 different Coronavirus clinical trial applications filed have been China. Other sources talking about 19 clinical trials registered in China. Two weeks ago there were an estimated 30 anti-coronavirus therapies in the pipeline. Researchers in China are launching more systematic tests of these repurposed medicines. Since January 28, scientists have registered …

Read more

Ebola Vaccine and New Ebola Drugs are Effective

An Ebola vaccine (rVSV-ZEBOV-GP Ebola vaccine) tested in Africa is 97.5% effective. Only 8.8% (60/679) of the vaccinated rings reported Ebola cases, and only 2.2% (15/679) reported Ebola cases 10 days or more after vaccination.The majority of cases among vaccinated people (76%, 54/71) occurred among high-risk contacts. Only 2 out of 68,279 vaccinated contacts of …

Read more

Defenses Against the Biggest Risk We Face

Bill Gates says the biggest risk that we reasonably face is a bioterrorism attack or natural pandemics. Pandemic and Epidemic Risks Relatively average costs for more serious infectious events are high in terms of deaths and costs. One study found the worldwide spread of a serious infectious disease could result in pandemic-related deaths of 700,000 …

Read more

Universal Vaccination Would Save 1.5 Million Children Each Year

In 2017, the number of children immunized – 116.2 million – was the highest ever reported. The Region of the Americas achieved maternal and neonatal tetanus elimination, leaving only 15 countries yet to achieve elimination. Since 2010, 113 countries have introduced new vaccines, and more than 20 million additional children have been vaccinated. Nevertheless, this …

Read more