Tesla could reach an 80% price increase and a stock price of $566 if they can sell 1 million vehicles in 2020, including the Model 3, Model S, Model X and Model Y, at an average selling price of about $52,000.
$566 price also assumes 15 GWh of battery production sold at an average selling price of $500 per kWh and 800 MW of solar modules sold at a gross margin of 20%. All of this amounts to about $62.4 billion in total revenue with an operating margin of about 11%.
It doesn’t revenue from Tesla Semi or ride sharing.
A $707 price target could be achieved with 1 million vehicles per year and an operating margin of about 14%.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.