The 9 page executive summary from the 2007 State of the Future report
The most interesting thing to me is on page 7. A summary of the work on future education possibilities, which basically gets into intelligence augmentation and AGI.
The possibilities were:
• National programs for improving collective intelligence
• Just-in-time knowledge and learning
• Individualized education
• Use of simulations
• Continuous evaluation of individual learning processes designed to prevent people from growing unstable or becoming mentally ill
• Improved individual nutrition
• Genetically increased intelligence
• Use of global on-line simulations as a primary social science research tool
• Use of public communications to reinforce pursuit of knowledge
• Portable artificial intelligence devices
• Complete mapping of human synapses to discover how learning occurs and thereby develop strategies for improvement of learning
• Means for keeping adult brains healthier for longer periods
• Chemistry for brain enhancement
• Web 17.0
• Integrated life-long learning systems
• Programs aimed at eliminating prejudice and hate
• E-Teaching
• Smarter than human computers• Artificial microbes enhancing intelligence
There estimates of the likelihood of each of those possibilities
I view it as particially a ranking of likelihood as what is considered more acceptable and mundane to the mainstream. I think they all are quite certain based on my view of accelerating technology. The degree of usage will be determined by effectiveness and not on technical feasibility.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
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