Elon Musk spoke today in a video at the World AI Conference 2023. He said FSD will be officially released at the end of this year, and he said Tesla would be happy to license self-driving technology to other car companies. He also ended by praising China’s AI capabilities.
Elon Musk spoke today in a video at the World AI Conference 2023. He said FSD will be officially released at the end of this year, and he said Tesla would be happy to license self-driving technology to other car companies. He also ended by praising China's AI capabilities. pic.twitter.com/epS9OTuZiE
— Yan Chang (@cyfoxcat) July 6, 2023
— Yan Chang (@cyfoxcat) July 6, 2023
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
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This is probably a case where his timeline is correct, because the promise is meaningless.
He didn’t say level 5 autonomous by the end of the year. Or level 4. Or level 3. He didn’t even say that FSD would be able to Fully Self Drive.
He just meant he’s going to remove the “beta” tag. He can do that at any time. But it doesn’t actually mean anything objective.
The automatic cynicism about Musk’s comments reflects where we are in the Hype cycle, not the facts.
Tesla’s capabilities for perfecting FSD are past the inflection point and growing exponentially. They WILL solve it by brute force in the next couple years by anybody’s definition. When they do, nobody else will be in sight. So Tesla’s open willingness to license it sets the course of history.
Translating Elon Musk – FSD will come out of Beta by the end of the year. The price will rise again. Tesla will book the revenue from all sales. Tesla will introduce a Beta of Tesla Network for RoboTaxis but with some version of human supervision to match regulations.
As people watch it work, critics will still find things to complain about but it will meet consensus expectations for being as good as most human drivers. A few jurisdictions will let it operate full robo taxis.
Ludus .. Agreed its mainly (in the comments) a knee jerk anti Musk, though to be fair his FSD pronouncements have been wrong time after time yet looking objectively at changes in A.I re new techniques (being driven by a explosion in A.I research) and increase in compute show clear progress it does indeed look as if they are on track and will not this time hit a local maximum
Yeah timelines are terrible. There are too many exceptions for real full-self driving to work currently. Someday yeah.
Toyota’s claims need to be taken with a lot of salt. One step closer perhaps, but still far away until we see that. Toyota makes great, reliable cars so that they are doing something in EV area is great. Hydrogen is just a waste of time IMO.
Full Fsd flying teslas fusion powered by Rossi’s E-cat coming directly from gigafactory to your door 24h after the purchase, starting tomorrow.
I think the singularity is a bit further out than that. Let’s say late 2025
Yawn. Musk’s timelines are a joke.