Robin Hanson talks about A tsunami of Life
Robin is detailing the scenario where there are many whole brain emulations.
He is using the conventional economics to work from the assumption to detail how that society would look. He does not look at intermediate situations and does not debate any other philosophical or ethical implications.
He is writing a book about this detailed scenario.
Some people could be troubled by aspects of it but he feels that people need to consider the whole situation.
These are the rough notes of a dense talk.
Economics of whole brain emulation
Need to emulate brains – uploads
Computers very parallel
Scan – fix slice 2d scan
Model each brain cell type
Emulation of the brain does the same as the original brain
Combine usual results in economics, brain science
Assume mostly opaque emulations
No merges, slices, partials
Next big eras, not eras after
Look first at
Low regulation competitive scenario
Post transition equilibrium
Use supply and demand
Generic BIG future
Better tech, org design
Bigger orgs and contracts
More specialization, niches
Better/cheaper music stories, art, gamnes
More unequal cities, firms, achievement
Immortality but can most afford
Travel transmit to a new body but is secure ?
Nature – do not need ecosystems to survive
Train once, use many, each job few sources
Population explosion, rapid growth, economy doubles monthly
Wages fall to near hardware cost
Only draconian global law can stop
Wages < human subsistence Except as direct demand eg sevants But rich if hold non-wage assets Wealth grows like small % of economy Less robot human war if integrate, share law We don’t kill retirees take their stuff EMS feel human Remember a human life, retain human styles Love, gossip, argue, sing, play, laugh Most EMS are of the few best suited humans Smart conscientious, workaholic First mover gains, few kids, uneven gender IF most from