SpaceX Gwynne Shotwell said Wednesday that tomorrow SpaceX will perform a full “static fire” test, during which SpaceX will ignite all 33 Raptor 2 engines on the Super Heavy booster at once. If no major issues arise from the test, SpaceX could attempt the first orbital launch of Starship within the next month. This will …
Cory and Sandy figured out what Tesla’s Investor Day announcement graphic is showing, and they’re here to explain how they cracked the case. The Tesla Investor graphic is showing 5400 or Model Y side body panels or about one day of production that is needed for 2 million cars per year. Master Plan 3, the …
Microsoft is bringing into the browser. The AI will summarize any pdf document (including scientific papers) and integrate data from current web and use it to create content. Merging in the AI has created the largest jump in search relevance in two decades. AI will supercharge search and boost content creation. Brian WangBrian Wang is …
Farzad Mesbahi and Matt Smith discuss my, Brian Wang, analysis that the Tesla Semi and Tesla Megapack will need to be operated together. The Tesla Semi can save about 80% on the cost of fuel by switching from diesel to electric. This reduces the overall cost of operation by 20% initially. This savings will require …
Wolfram Alpha is like a calculator on steroids. It has a lot of science (math, physics and chemistry) formulas and knowledge encoded. Systems like Wolfram Alpha could provide an expert system grounding of hard answers to supplement ChatGPT like systems which are better at communicating and language understanding. Having improved chat systems orchestrate the answers …
Ark Invest has their Big Ideas report for 2023. The market value of disruptive innovation platforms could scale 40% at an annual rate during this business cycle, from $13 trillion today to $200 trillion by 2030. Five convering technologies will define this decade. 1. Artificial Intelligence 2. Robotics 3. Energy Storage 4. Public Blockchains 5. …
OpenAI has launched a pilot subscription plan for ChatGPT. It is called ChapGPT plus. It is a conversational AI that can chat with you, answer follow-up questions, and challenge incorrect assumptions. ChatGPT has hit an estimated 100 million monthly active users making it the fastest-growing consumer internet application in history according to a UBS study. …
Two teams — General Atomics working with Maritime Applied Physics Corporation and Aurora Flight Sciences working with Gibbs & Cox and ReconCraft — will develop designs for DARPA’s Liberty Lifter Seaplane Wing-in-Ground Effect full-scale demonstrator. The Liberty Lifter program aims to demonstrate a leap-ahead in operational capability by designing, building, floating, and flying a long-range, …
SpaceX had 7 successful orbital launches in January, 2023 and is scheduled for 14 orbital launches in February, 2023. The January, 2023 launch pace is an annualized 84 launches but the if the February schedule happens then SpaceX will be tracking to 126 launches in 2023. 14 Launches in 28 days would be on pace …
Brian Wang, Nextbigfuture, is ranked 47th all time on the public prediction website -Metaculus and is ranked 35th for the past 12 months. Brian has a brier score of 0.088. Lower brier scores are more accurate. If predictions were random results and someone had 50% confidence of 50% results then the brier score would be …
SpaceX’s Starbase factory is already building multiple intentionally-expendable Starships. Ship 26 and Ship 27 feature no thermal protection, have no heat shield tiles, and will not be fitted with flaps, making them impossible to recover or reuse. These Starships will be able to test technologies like orbital refilling and cryogenic fluid management. A SpaceX Starship …
