China expects one in every two new cars sold to be equipped with smart and at least partial autonomous functions by 2020. China has 25 million car sales in 2018. This usually increases by 3% to 8% each year. China should have about 28 million cars sold in 2020. This would mean over 14 million will have network connections and at least partial self-driving.
This will be a US$14 billion market for intelligent connected vehicles by 2020, according to Industry and Information Technology Minister Miao Wei.
The first fully self-driving bus developed by Baidu has reached over 10,000 kilometers mileage with no accidents.
In July, Nasdaq-listed Baidu said its first 100 self-driving buses had been built and would be put into use in cities including Beijing, Xiongan, Shenzhen and Tokyo.
Baidu is investing heavily into self-driving car projects and has formed partnerships with Microsoft and Intel, and carmakers BMW, Ford and Daimler.
Baidu and BYD will mass produce self-driving cars starting around 2021.
Tencent is working on building a voice-operated version of its WeChat messaging app into cars that can also enable real-time navigation and the sharing of geographic location, according to Ma. The company has pushed back on the introduction because of concerns about safety.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
So… my bûllsnot meter is pegging … The current date is 2018.8 or so. BY 2020 could (meanly) mean by January 1, 2020, right? That is only 1.2 years off. Color me purple and call me an eggplant, but I do NOT see 14,000,000 semi-autonomous cars in China being put into service in the next 1.2 years. For firsts, there’s always the inconvenient bûllsnot fact that there have been essentially NO open sales of semi-autonomous cars in China yet, today. Right? Or have there already been hundreds-of-thousands? My bûllsnot meter is also pegging because China’s fully-autonomous fleet of cars-with-drivers possess a kind of daring-do and queue-cheating bravado that simply defies logic and reason quite often. People driving on sidewalks, taking left hand turns from right lanes, not signaling, deciding to go WAY faster, and WAY slower than the speed limit, making U turns wherever they feel they can get away with it. How is that supposed to work out with the autonomous driving fleet? Well, one thing is for sure: there’d be NO PRESS about incipient accidents caused by the semi-autonomous fleet driver(s) getting into brake-check tussles with the local non-voting public. Just saying, GoatGuy
So… my bûllsnot meter is pegging …The current date is 2018.8 or so. BY 2020 could (meanly) mean by January 1 2020 right? That is only 1.2 years off. Color me purple and call me an eggplant but I do NOT see 14000000 semi-autonomous cars in China being put into service in the next 1.2 years. For firsts there’s always the inconvenient bûllsnot fact that there have been essentially NO open sales of semi-autonomous cars in China yet today. Right? Or have there already been hundreds-of-thousands? My bûllsnot meter is also pegging because China’s fully-autonomous fleet of cars-with-drivers possess a kind of daring-do and queue-cheating bravado that simply defies logic and reason quite often. People driving on sidewalks taking left hand turns from right lanes not signaling deciding to go WAY faster and WAY slower than the speed limit making U turns wherever they feel they can get away with it. How is that supposed to work out with the autonomous driving fleet?Well one thing is for sure: there’d be NO PRESS about incipient accidents caused by the semi-autonomous fleet driver(s) getting into brake-check tussles with the local non-voting public. Just sayingGoatGuy”
The first fully self-driving bus developed by Baidu has reached over 10,000 kilometers mileage with no accidents.” So that’s what? 100 times better than the average bus driver? At least in my city.
The first fully self-driving bus developed by Baidu has reached over 10″000 kilometers mileage with no accidents.””So that’s what? 100 times better than the average bus driver? At least in my city.”””
And, contrarily JUST as true: “Just because you CAN imagine something doesn’t mean that it WILL happen”. Seriously. The Old Soviet Union (I kind of miss her…) was famous, perhaps even infamous, for walleyeing just about any semi-believable Thing She Was Going To Do in the somewhat murky near future. Fabulous weapons systems, fabulous economic growth plans, fabulous societal reorganizations, fabulous academic expansions and research endeavors. The USSR shredded credibility at times. Or, in the old on-the-street Russian maxim: ⇒ “The news? Everything is possible, nothing is probable.” Gotta love it. So, in your (and one expects, many other readers’) mind, semi-autonomous driving is all wrapped up in “clamp the steering, throttle, braking and sensor shît to the car, rubber stamp the controller chips, and you’re good to go”. Fourteen million times. It is like my wife, who said to me (after my 7 day long bout of “upgrading my dâhmned Mac”, and having scores of endlessly frustrating deeply seated technical failures — mostly ‘cuz I’m a sophisticated computer persons who expects FAR MORE out of my machine than The Internetz and playing Sudoku…), “I’m sorry for your frustration, honey, but you really do seem to choose the hard road when the easy one is right there.” I’m old enough that that isn’t really irritating anymore. Disturbing, but not a pique. Still, that I’m bringing it forth shows… it hurt a bit. But the “moral of the story” is that upgrading my computer to the latest-and-greatest OS caused no end of dependency faults. Pieces of software that used to work, now won’t. Communications (“Email”) that used to flow, didn’t. Mysterious new interfaces to the back end configuration parameters that is both opaque and disarmingly glib. And I think about cars. That have “all the stuff” to drive themselves… And I think… Right, just bolt it on. Ummm… ••• NO ••• Just saying, GoatGuy
you need a box of kleenex for all that bullsnot. Definition of “semi-autonomous” = a driver. From the Chinese rulebook on the entire auto-driving scheme: test driver shall always be in the driver’s seat of the test vehicle, always monitor the running state of the vehicle and the surrounding environment, and be ready to take over the vehicle at any time. When the test driver finds that the vehicle is in a state that is not suitable for automatic driving or the system prompts that manual operation is required, the vehicle should be taken in time. The rulebook also ways that all test driving full AV’s needs to be at a test site….The “semi” also refers to systems like proximity/lane changing warnings, auto-cruise (never really used in China) and retina scanning (for slow eye movements to warn for driver sleepiness). All these tech as you may know, already exists. As usual with China, there are plans and there is reality. hype.
And contrarily JUST as true: “Just because you CAN imagine something doesn’t mean that it WILL happen”.Seriously. The Old Soviet Union (I kind of miss her…) was famous perhaps even infamous for walleyeing just about any semi-believable Thing She Was Going To Do in the somewhat murky near future. Fabulous weapons systems fabulous economic growth plans fabulous societal reorganizations fabulous academic expansions and research endeavors. The USSR shredded credibility at times. Or in the old on-the-street Russian maxim:⇒ “The news? Everything is possible nothing is probable.”Gotta love it. So in your (and one expects many other readers’) mind semi-autonomous driving is all wrapped up in “clamp the steering throttle braking and sensor shît to the car rubber stamp the controller chips and you’re good to go”. Fourteen million times. It is like my wife who said to me (after my 7 day long bout of “upgrading my dâhmned Mac” and having scores of endlessly frustrating deeply seated technical failures — mostly ‘cuz I’m a sophisticated computer persons who expects FAR MORE out of my machine than The Internetz and playing Sudoku…) I’m sorry for your frustration” honey” but you really do seem to choose the hard road when the easy one is right there.””I’m old enough that that isn’t really irritating anymore. Disturbing”” but not a pique. Still”” that I’m bringing it forth shows… it hurt a bit. But the “”””moral of the story”””” is that upgrading my computer to the latest-and-greatest OS caused no end of dependency faults. Pieces of software that used to work”””” now won’t. Communications (“”””Email””””) that used to flow”” didn’t. Mysterious new interfaces to the back end configuration parameters that is both opaque and disarmingly glib. And I think about cars.That have “all the stuff” to drive themselves…And I think…Right just bolt it on. Ummm… ••• NO •••Just saying””GoatGuy”””””””
you need a box of kleenex for all that bullsnot. Definition of semi-autonomous”” = a driver. From the Chinese rulebook on the entire auto-driving scheme:test driver shall always be in the driver’s seat of the test vehicle”” always monitor the running state of the vehicle and the surrounding environment and be ready to take over the vehicle at any time. When the test driver finds that the vehicle is in a state that is not suitable for automatic driving or the system prompts that manual operation is required”” the vehicle should be taken in time.The rulebook also ways that all test driving full AV’s needs to be at a test site….The “”””semi”””” also refers to systems like proximity/lane changing warnings”” auto-cruise (never really used in China) and retina scanning (for slow eye movements to warn for driver sleepiness). All these tech as you may know already exists. As usual with China”” there are plans and there is reality.hype.”””
Ironic that with Pooh bear in office for life, they are simultaneously getting further and further away from autonomous people.
Ironic that with Pooh bear in office for life they are simultaneously getting further and further away from autonomous people.
Ironic that with Pooh bear in office for life, they are simultaneously getting further and further away from autonomous people.
Ironic that with Pooh bear in office for life they are simultaneously getting further and further away from autonomous people.
Ironic that with Pooh bear in office for life, they are simultaneously getting further and further away from autonomous people.
And, contrarily JUST as true: “Just because you CAN imagine something doesn’t mean that it WILL happen”. Seriously. The Old Soviet Union (I kind of miss her…) was famous, perhaps even infamous, for walleyeing just about any semi-believable Thing She Was Going To Do in the somewhat murky near future. Fabulous weapons systems, fabulous economic growth plans, fabulous societal reorganizations, fabulous academic expansions and research endeavors. The USSR shredded credibility at times. Or, in the old on-the-street Russian maxim: ⇒ “The news? Everything is possible, nothing is probable.” Gotta love it. So, in your (and one expects, many other readers’) mind, semi-autonomous driving is all wrapped up in “clamp the steering, throttle, braking and sensor shît to the car, rubber stamp the controller chips, and you’re good to go”. Fourteen million times. It is like my wife, who said to me (after my 7 day long bout of “upgrading my dâhmned Mac”, and having scores of endlessly frustrating deeply seated technical failures — mostly ‘cuz I’m a sophisticated computer persons who expects FAR MORE out of my machine than The Internetz and playing Sudoku…), “I’m sorry for your frustration, honey, but you really do seem to choose the hard road when the easy one is right there.” I’m old enough that that isn’t really irritating anymore. Disturbing, but not a pique. Still, that I’m bringing it forth shows… it hurt a bit. But the “moral of the story” is that upgrading my computer to the latest-and-greatest OS caused no end of dependency faults. Pieces of software that used to work, now won’t. Communications (“Email”) that used to flow, didn’t. Mysterious new interfaces to the back end configuration parameters that is both opaque and disarmingly glib. And I think about cars. That have “all the stuff” to drive themselves… And I think… Right, just bolt it on. Ummm… ••• NO ••• Just saying, GoatGuy
And contrarily JUST as true: “Just because you CAN imagine something doesn’t mean that it WILL happen”.Seriously. The Old Soviet Union (I kind of miss her…) was famous perhaps even infamous for walleyeing just about any semi-believable Thing She Was Going To Do in the somewhat murky near future. Fabulous weapons systems fabulous economic growth plans fabulous societal reorganizations fabulous academic expansions and research endeavors. The USSR shredded credibility at times. Or in the old on-the-street Russian maxim:⇒ “The news? Everything is possible nothing is probable.”Gotta love it. So in your (and one expects many other readers’) mind semi-autonomous driving is all wrapped up in “clamp the steering throttle braking and sensor shît to the car rubber stamp the controller chips and you’re good to go”. Fourteen million times. It is like my wife who said to me (after my 7 day long bout of “upgrading my dâhmned Mac” and having scores of endlessly frustrating deeply seated technical failures — mostly ‘cuz I’m a sophisticated computer persons who expects FAR MORE out of my machine than The Internetz and playing Sudoku…) I’m sorry for your frustration” honey” but you really do seem to choose the hard road when the easy one is right there.””I’m old enough that that isn’t really irritating anymore. Disturbing”” but not a pique. Still”” that I’m bringing it forth shows… it hurt a bit. But the “”””moral of the story”””” is that upgrading my computer to the latest-and-greatest OS caused no end of dependency faults. Pieces of software that used to work”””” now won’t. Communications (“”””Email””””) that used to flow”” didn’t. Mysterious new interfaces to the back end configuration parameters that is both opaque and disarmingly glib. And I think about cars.That have “all the stuff” to drive themselves…And I think…Right just bolt it on. Ummm… ••• NO •••Just saying””GoatGuy”””””””
you need a box of kleenex for all that bullsnot. Definition of “semi-autonomous” = a driver. From the Chinese rulebook on the entire auto-driving scheme: test driver shall always be in the driver’s seat of the test vehicle, always monitor the running state of the vehicle and the surrounding environment, and be ready to take over the vehicle at any time. When the test driver finds that the vehicle is in a state that is not suitable for automatic driving or the system prompts that manual operation is required, the vehicle should be taken in time. The rulebook also ways that all test driving full AV’s needs to be at a test site….The “semi” also refers to systems like proximity/lane changing warnings, auto-cruise (never really used in China) and retina scanning (for slow eye movements to warn for driver sleepiness). All these tech as you may know, already exists. As usual with China, there are plans and there is reality. hype.
you need a box of kleenex for all that bullsnot. Definition of semi-autonomous”” = a driver. From the Chinese rulebook on the entire auto-driving scheme:test driver shall always be in the driver’s seat of the test vehicle”” always monitor the running state of the vehicle and the surrounding environment and be ready to take over the vehicle at any time. When the test driver finds that the vehicle is in a state that is not suitable for automatic driving or the system prompts that manual operation is required”” the vehicle should be taken in time.The rulebook also ways that all test driving full AV’s needs to be at a test site….The “”””semi”””” also refers to systems like proximity/lane changing warnings”” auto-cruise (never really used in China) and retina scanning (for slow eye movements to warn for driver sleepiness). All these tech as you may know already exists. As usual with China”” there are plans and there is reality.hype.”””
The first fully self-driving bus developed by Baidu has reached over 10,000 kilometers mileage with no accidents.” So that’s what? 100 times better than the average bus driver? At least in my city.
The first fully self-driving bus developed by Baidu has reached over 10″000 kilometers mileage with no accidents.””So that’s what? 100 times better than the average bus driver? At least in my city.”””
And, contrarily JUST as true: “Just because you CAN imagine something doesn’t mean that it WILL happen”.
Seriously. The Old Soviet Union (I kind of miss her…) was famous, perhaps even infamous, for walleyeing just about any semi-believable Thing She Was Going To Do in the somewhat murky near future. Fabulous weapons systems, fabulous economic growth plans, fabulous societal reorganizations, fabulous academic expansions and research endeavors. The USSR shredded credibility at times. Or, in the old on-the-street Russian maxim:
⇒ “The news? Everything is possible, nothing is probable.”
Gotta love it.
So, in your (and one expects, many other readers’) mind, semi-autonomous driving is all wrapped up in “clamp the steering, throttle, braking and sensor shît to the car, rubber stamp the controller chips, and you’re good to go”. Fourteen million times.
It is like my wife, who said to me (after my 7 day long bout of “upgrading my dâhmned Mac”, and having scores of endlessly frustrating deeply seated technical failures — mostly ‘cuz I’m a sophisticated computer persons who expects FAR MORE out of my machine than The Internetz and playing Sudoku…), “I’m sorry for your frustration, honey, but you really do seem to choose the hard road when the easy one is right there.”
I’m old enough that that isn’t really irritating anymore. Disturbing, but not a pique. Still, that I’m bringing it forth shows… it hurt a bit.
But the “moral of the story” is that upgrading my computer to the latest-and-greatest OS caused no end of dependency faults. Pieces of software that used to work, now won’t. Communications (“Email”) that used to flow, didn’t. Mysterious new interfaces to the back end configuration parameters that is both opaque and disarmingly glib.
And I think about cars.
That have “all the stuff” to drive themselves…
And I think…
Right, just bolt it on.
Ummm… ••• NO •••
Just saying,
GoatGuy
you need a box of kleenex for all that bullsnot. Definition of “semi-autonomous” = a driver. From the Chinese rulebook on the entire auto-driving scheme:
test driver shall always be in the driver’s seat of the test vehicle, always monitor the running state of the vehicle and the surrounding environment, and be ready to take over the vehicle at any time. When the test driver finds that the vehicle is in a state that is not suitable for automatic driving or the system prompts that manual operation is required, the vehicle should be taken in time.
The rulebook also ways that all test driving full AV’s needs to be at a test site….The “semi” also refers to systems like proximity/lane changing warnings, auto-cruise (never really used in China) and retina scanning (for slow eye movements to warn for driver sleepiness). All these tech as you may know, already exists. As usual with China, there are plans and there is reality.
hype.
So… my bûllsnot meter is pegging … The current date is 2018.8 or so. BY 2020 could (meanly) mean by January 1, 2020, right? That is only 1.2 years off. Color me purple and call me an eggplant, but I do NOT see 14,000,000 semi-autonomous cars in China being put into service in the next 1.2 years. For firsts, there’s always the inconvenient bûllsnot fact that there have been essentially NO open sales of semi-autonomous cars in China yet, today. Right? Or have there already been hundreds-of-thousands? My bûllsnot meter is also pegging because China’s fully-autonomous fleet of cars-with-drivers possess a kind of daring-do and queue-cheating bravado that simply defies logic and reason quite often. People driving on sidewalks, taking left hand turns from right lanes, not signaling, deciding to go WAY faster, and WAY slower than the speed limit, making U turns wherever they feel they can get away with it. How is that supposed to work out with the autonomous driving fleet? Well, one thing is for sure: there’d be NO PRESS about incipient accidents caused by the semi-autonomous fleet driver(s) getting into brake-check tussles with the local non-voting public. Just saying, GoatGuy
So… my bûllsnot meter is pegging …The current date is 2018.8 or so. BY 2020 could (meanly) mean by January 1 2020 right? That is only 1.2 years off. Color me purple and call me an eggplant but I do NOT see 14000000 semi-autonomous cars in China being put into service in the next 1.2 years. For firsts there’s always the inconvenient bûllsnot fact that there have been essentially NO open sales of semi-autonomous cars in China yet today. Right? Or have there already been hundreds-of-thousands? My bûllsnot meter is also pegging because China’s fully-autonomous fleet of cars-with-drivers possess a kind of daring-do and queue-cheating bravado that simply defies logic and reason quite often. People driving on sidewalks taking left hand turns from right lanes not signaling deciding to go WAY faster and WAY slower than the speed limit making U turns wherever they feel they can get away with it. How is that supposed to work out with the autonomous driving fleet?Well one thing is for sure: there’d be NO PRESS about incipient accidents caused by the semi-autonomous fleet driver(s) getting into brake-check tussles with the local non-voting public. Just sayingGoatGuy”
“The first fully self-driving bus developed by Baidu has reached over 10,000 kilometers mileage with no accidents.”
So that’s what? 100 times better than the average bus driver? At least in my city.
So… my bûllsnot meter is pegging …
The current date is 2018.8 or so. BY 2020 could (meanly) mean by January 1, 2020, right? That is only 1.2 years off. Color me purple and call me an eggplant, but I do NOT see 14,000,000 semi-autonomous cars in China being put into service in the next 1.2 years.
For firsts, there’s always the inconvenient bûllsnot fact that there have been essentially NO open sales of semi-autonomous cars in China yet, today. Right? Or have there already been hundreds-of-thousands?
My bûllsnot meter is also pegging because China’s fully-autonomous fleet of cars-with-drivers possess a kind of daring-do and queue-cheating bravado that simply defies logic and reason quite often. People driving on sidewalks, taking left hand turns from right lanes, not signaling, deciding to go WAY faster, and WAY slower than the speed limit, making U turns wherever they feel they can get away with it.
How is that supposed to work out with the autonomous driving fleet?
Well, one thing is for sure: there’d be NO PRESS about incipient accidents caused by the semi-autonomous fleet driver(s) getting into brake-check tussles with the local non-voting public.
Just saying,
GoatGuy