Ian Bremmer describes the world security order, the economic order and the transitioning digital and technology world order.
The world security order will remain with the US and dominant unipolar power.
The economic order is multipolar with the US and China each about equal and India, Europe and Japan as significant players.
The technological and digital world order is already powerful in shaping and controlling global society. It is becoming even more influential with AI and Large Language models.
NOTE: Bremmer has various biases, but it is an important question about how Big Tech and the new AI is a changing factor that overlays the macro security and economic order.
In 2012, Bremmer came up with the G-Zero world which refers to a breakdown in global leadership brought about by a decline of Western influence and the inability of other nations to fill the void. It is a reference to a perceived shift away from the pre-eminence of the [“G7”] (“Group of Seven”) industrialized countries and the expanded Group of Twenty, which includes major emerging powers like China, India, Brazil, Turkey, and others. Bremmer explains that, in the G-Zero, no country or group of countries has the political and economic leverage to drive an international agenda or provide global public goods.
Bremmer has now shifted to the US controls world security and it is mainly the US and China that define the global economic agenda.
In 2021, Bremmer claimed that tech giants like Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google, and Alibaba have accumulated more power than any large corporations of the past. He says these nonstate actors are now shaping geopolitics and exercise a form of sovereignty over a rapidly expanding realm that is out of reach from national governments: the digital space.
In 2021, the CEO of Alibaba, Jack Ma, disappeared for 3 months. China President Xi cracked down on China’s technology giants.
In October 2022, Elon Musk tweeted, “Nobody should trust Bremmer” in reply to a tweet by Bremmer saying, “elon musk told me he had spoken with putin and the kremlin directly about ukraine. he also told me what the kremlin’s red lines were.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
Bremmer world view is very sensible. It holds as long as neither the U.S nor China collapse, which are both a real possibility. He just touched the tip of the iceberg with regard to the the mega tech companies though. The way I see it, everyone of the technological revolutions of the past had to do with syndicating or further syndicating one or more of our basic needs. The excuse was to make it more accessible and and easier to fulfill. The means were use of technology, commercialization and eventually mass production. The price was greater dependance on forces that their first interest not ours first, it was to increase the dependence on their product and services in place of our natural means. So it was with the food, goods, locomotion, leisure, spiritual connections and communication revolutions of the past. What is happening now has started as a drive to increase our ability to exchange information and knowledge through screens and their associated voice communication devices. It is quickly evolving to a creation of an interface that envelopes all our senses, needs and means of communication, again not for our good ultimately, but for that of who are behind this revolution. Elon Musk of course is at the forefront of this effort, so I will return him with his own words: Nobody should trust Elon Musk.